The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield has turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.193, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 38.653) as it crossed above the 1D MA200 again, with the 1D MA50 following right under it, with the two on an emerging 1D Golden Cross. We have anticipated that rebound from the HL of the Channel Up on our previous idea and our medium-term target...
Not many folks are looking for this as everyone seems to be calling for bonds to rally but I think there is a pretty good chance we get a flat 2's-10's sometime during Q2 Historically not a great omen for stonks when the curve disinverts
The 20 Yr Bond Yield will likely move to 4.7% by March 22nd, 2024 based on its' 12/2023 and 04/2020 Channels. Bought into TMV on 3/11/24 based on this reversal on Friday. Looks like this will be a 15% gain once TMV hits resistance next week.
Someone requested this one, and yes, as all crypto currencies show amazing heights, all will correct in due time, and corrections are always severe as much as the upside showed. This one will return likely to the 2.65 area whilst repecting 2.41 GANN support.
During the previous week the market was pricing released job data in the US. Increasing unemployment rate boosted investors expectations that the Fed's rate cuts are round the corner. Also it has been confirmed through the Fed Chair Powell`s testimony to the Senate, with wording “at some point” during the course of this year. Although, initially, it was expected...
How long do we have before the next crash? How many months until we've reached the market top? Hopefully not yet! My estimate is a top in June 2024, when the FED starts cutting rates.
Every time the yield curve has gone negative, a market crash follows eventually. The trick is knowing when that happens. Nobody knows. When the yield inversion starts rising again, that's a sign it's about to pop. Better start selling out of markets into USD. DXY will start rising again eventually. Looking at the charts, my guess is 3-6 months tops before we...
looking at a possible bear flag giving the stock market that one more push before a possible rotation
--- The carry trade - an investment strategy that takes advantage of differences in borrowing costs between countries - has provided bumper returns this year as most central banks have hiked rates, causing yields to rise, but at different paces. "The world's favourite carry trade," according to Bank of America, involves investors borrowing Japanese yen where the...
to be decided of course but after gold broke on through this one might be next stay alert for a triple top, or a triple top breakout
Come at me with critisism. The markets will have a hard landing. Time is on my side.
US Yields have topped back in October 2023 with sharp leg down, which is from Elliott wave perspective first leg A of a deeper A-B-C decline that can send the price back to the former wave 4 area to 3.25% - 2.5%. At the same time, we can see USdollar Index - DXY also turning down due to a positive correlation with Yields, we just saw some divergence in...
Once it stop inverted you have like 4 weeks to exits.
Going into this weeks trading, I was exuberant about the third profit @ 4.40% but the highest yields went up to was 4.321% before a shift in market structure occurred on a smaller timeframe. Currently closed @ 4.184% with a higher possibility of macro EQ @ 4.137% being the next target. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I...
Go long on equity 10Y yield heading lower will make equities go up. Inverse correlation. Use stoplosses please.
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) is expanding the new Bullish Leg, which we gave a buy signal on last time (January 24, see chart below): Yesterday it touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line for the first time since the February 05 break-out. During the previous leg of the 1.5 year Channel Up, the 1D MA50 held all the way until the formation of the...
I know the idea of lower rates / lower equities sounds silly by classic theory but if you close social media and go through the historic events you'll see it's more common. When rates are rising we usually rally for at least 3-6 months and more commonly somewhere like a year. The classic sell signal at the top of big trends has been price selling off a bit...