fed has started opening up the balance sheet to 2yr treasury notes again after failing at the first round of quantitative tightening. they say that this isnt more quantitative easing, who are they trying to fool? the s&p now offers better yields than government debt, how can this be sustainable? are we coming to the end of the 40 year bond rally? i feel that we...
Looks like investors are buying up Treasury bonds as the 10 year yield falls below 2% again.
Bonds prices move inversely to yields, as bond prices rise yields fall and if bonds sell of yields rise.
Investors are said to be Risk off when bond prices rise, as demand for us debt rises during risk off sentiment.
When bond yields fall it also causes stocks to rise...
It shows how historical events negatively impacted the US Y10 Bond, apart from the QE programmes, G8 meeting, Interest Rate Hike and others which raised this bond but could not be able to bullishly break out any resistance levels.
USO2Y 2-Year US Treasury Bonds Predicting Interest Rate. If the graph analysis is correct. We can see a nearly 1% downward trend in interest rates this year. Monetary easing is expected.
An inverted yield curve means a market situation in which the yields offered, for longer maturities, are lower than the yields of the short-term portion of the curve (in this case the "short" is usually considered as the rates up to 2 years). This is a situation that is at first sight counter-intuitive. Those who have studied Finance will certainly remember the...
An inverted yield curve means a market situation in which the yields offered, for longer maturities, are lower than the yields of the short-term portion of the curve (in this case the "short" is usually considered as the rates up to 2 years). This is a situation that is at first sight counter-intuitive. Those who have studied Finance will certainly remember the...
This ratio shows us that we are in a beginning period for going below 1, in that case this is the first signal, and is the following one US02Y/US10Y will go in the same direction, recession will begin.
thank for this last one
I think that, It is in action a possible regression market where bit investor are more interested in long term 10 years that in 2 one.
This means that on the contrary, one dollar tomorrow are better than a dollar today, this is real on opposite meaning regarding the contrary one where thanks to inflaction and many different economical situation, a dollar today was...
Are you afraid of the Italians? Yes. The 10-year government bond interest rate track shows no optimistic signs. Although we are waiting for a slump because of the pace of the first wave of the triple wave structure at the correction phase of the first wave of the triple wave structure, but a few days maybe a week and the decline in the interest rate may end. Then,...
US10Y long. Future forecasts for dollar interest rates may rise further. The US10Y exchange rate may start the second wave of a triple ascending wave structure. A D1 ATR axle rising, the second wave top being 3.16% environment. Then, we wait for correction again before reaching the third wave periodus whose top is 3.42%.
Triangle of minor fourth wave still in play (just completed c possibly). Higher in d then pullback in e to finish wave iv before thrust higher to 3.80% in coming weeks/months to finish wave 3/C before wider consolidation at higher yield levels
Follow up to posts from around a month/6 weeks ago....Italian 10yr yields headed higher to at least 3.80% imo.
Currently in a wave iv triangle (just finished c, need to do d then e) before a thrust higher in yield towards target in coming few weeks/months
Just updated trading scenario from a month ago (yields at 3% looking for top 3.10-3.20% zone, actual high 3.13%). Recent fall in yields potentially only the first leg lower in a larger drop. Possible H+S top pattern in play on break and close below 2.75% could easily see sub 2.50% and perhaps 2.35% area despite FED next week (expecting +25bps) which should lead to...
A bond is a contract between an entity that borrows money and a creditor that lends it to the entity. When you purchase a bond, you are effectively giving a loan to the bond issuer. With government bonds, also known as sovereign bonds, a national government borrows money to fund its operations. The bond specifies what interest rate (coupon) will be paid and at which times during the life of the bond and when the principal funds, also known as face value, will be returned. This is called the maturity date. Bonds are an asset class by themselves that offers more stability than stocks.
The return on a bond is known in advance, which makes them low risk investments, although the risk is related to the credit rating of the bond issuer. If the coupon rate is higher than the prevailing interest rates, a bond becomes attractive so the demand for these bonds will increase, driving up their price. If the bond interest is lower than the prevailing interest rates, their price will drop, so bonds are inversely correlated to interest rates.
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