Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having so far its strongest correction (almost -15%) in 2 months (since the January 23 2024 Low) with the 1D RSI turning neutral (was overbought last week) after forming Lower Highs (i.e. a Bearish Divergence). The dominant pattern is still a Channel Up, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and last time we saw such an RSI Bearish...
Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 19 2023 Low and at the moment is halfway through its 2nd Bullish Leg of the sequence. So far it has been replicating to a fair extent the previous Leg, trading above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which shouldn't be touched again before the next peak. If it continues to repeat the...
Eli Lilly (LLY) has basically turned sideways since the February 16 High. The dominant pattern is a Channel Up since the March 07 2023 Low and can be divided into 3 Bullish Waves that delivered rallies between +45% and +52%. Every time the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it was a buy opportunity. The 1D RSI in particular has a Buy Zone, which coincided...
The USDCHF pair is on very critical crossroads as for the past 5 weeks it has been testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but has so far failed to close a 1W candle above it. Going back to late September 2023, we can see that the 1W MA50 has been again tested for successive weeks, but again failed to close a candle above it. In fact the last time it did was back on...
The S&P500 (SPX) broke on Friday below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which isn't yet a bearish confirmation as it has done so numerous time within December's Channel Up pattern. What would be a sell signal though, is getting rejected and fail to close a 4H candle above the 4H MA50 again. We will then look for the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and target Support 1...
Nasdaq (NDX) started a correction last week (see our March 12 idea below) which was after a rejection at the top of the multi-month Channel Up that transitioned into a Head and Shoulders (H&S) on the lower time-frames (4H) and broke below February's Channel: Despite the early bounce today, we don't expect this correction to be over, but won't be a lengthy one...
Dow Jones (DJI) had formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and ahead of the first 4H Death Cross in 7 months (since August 21 2023), the probability of a short-term correction seems stronger than ever. Technically H&S patterns target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension but we will settle for a slightly higher target on Support 1 at...
Gasoline (RBOB1!) is staging a short-term rebound towards the top of the (dotted) Channel Up ahead of a 1D Golden Cross. The 18-month pattern is a Channel Down and last time we saw those technical dynamics was during the previous Bullish Wave/ Channel Up that peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (April 12 2023) exactly on the Golden Cross and then corrected...
Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the October 04 2022 High and the recent Feb 13 2024 Low rally is approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is where the last Lower High of the Channel Down was priced (Dec 22 2023), thus a sell opportunity is being presented. On top of that, the 1D RSI just hit the 70.00 overbought...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) declined from the fresh 73700 All Time High (ATH) back to 65600 in a matter of a few hours, breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), entering the green Ichimoku Cloud for the first time this month, while touching the bottom of the short-term Channel Up pattern. This is the 2nd Higher Low for the pattern and now is the time for the trend to...
WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading within a short-term Channel Up on the 4H time-frame, with the wider pattern still a Channel Up since the December 13 2023 market bottom. As long as the price keeps closing the 4H candles within the Channel Up, we remain bullish, targeting 81.85 (+6.64%, which is the rise of the previous Bullish Leg of the dashed Rising Megaphone). If a...
Gold (XAUUSD) eventually broke above the Channel Up on our last signal (March 04 2024, see chart below) and almost hit the 2200 Target: It may be time to take profit on the break-out buy as the Bullish Leg since the February 14 Low is so far in perfect symmetry with the previous that peaked on December 04 2023 and potentially with the one before that peaked...
Dogwifhat (WIFUSD) has been the revelation of the last 3 weeks as during that time it grew by more than +1000%. This rally is mostly euphoria driven and the frenzy may very well push even higher. But we can't neglect the technical Resistance levels along the way. The strongest of them is the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern since it first...
Solana (SOLUSD) broke above its former Channel Up as we explained on our last bullish call (December 08 2023, see chart below) and hit last week our 144.000 Target: Right now it is best to take a step back and view SOL's price action on the 1W time-frame, where the clear long-term trend is revealed, and that's bullish within a Channel Up pattern. The...
BONK (BONKUSD) broke above its December 15 2023 High and as it has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support following the Falling Wedge break-out, it is now aiming for a new High. Based on the 1D RSI price action, we might be at a post accumulation rally as in early November. That rally peaked marginally below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension from the start of...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is trading at the top of the 17-month Channel Up with the 1W RSI overbought and at its highest (78.00) in more than 4 years (since January 2020). Once it breaks below its MA level (yellow trend-line), it will be a sell confirmation, which is the signal that flashed on February 20 2023 and July 31 2023. The minimum decline within this...
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has hit the top of the Fibonacci Channel Up last week and immediately got rejected, closing the 1W candle almost flat. This is a significant 1 week turnaround, which may evolve into a bearish reversal as the 1W RSI gave the strongest sell signal possible. That is reversing on the 82.50 (overbought) level, which since the 2009 bottom...
Platinum (XPTUSD) broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), and being on 1D RSI Higher Lows, we may be having a strong rally in its early stages. At least this is what the very same Higher Lows RSI pattern has led to when Platinum made the very same 1D MA200 break-out on October 26 2022. The result was a +28.50% instant rally from the bottom and then a finaly...