No surprise we saw a huge knife down that met with hard resistance at ~$82.77. This price point acted as a huge support back in 2016. Despite the NFP numbers, there should be a relief bounce for the stock, but any follow-through to break that resistance during the trading day could introduce a retest of the monthly high in 2000. You can be certain that Silicon Valley Bank is at risk of losing capital to the many companies that will be looking to withdraw (keep in mind that the struggling tech market means fewer deposits in SVB). I have no specific positions on $SIVB and see a very long road to recovery here. Their 2.3B firesale in new shares would cause extreme dilution to the stock, which was needed from their horrible positioning just before interest rates increased with their $21 billion bond portfolio having a yield of 1.79% and a duration of 3.6 years compared to the 3-year treasury yield of 4.71%.
What happened today is a harbinger of what's to come for the entire market.
What happened today is a harbinger of what's to come for the entire market.