Long time without having this ratio at positive. Flattening/Inverse at some bps.
2Y-10Y treasury rate compared with SPX and DOW
This ratio shows us that we are in a beginning period for going below 1, in that case this is the first signal, and is the following one US02Y/US10Y will go in the same direction, recession will begin. thank for this last one
I think that, It is in action a possible regression market where bit investor are more interested in long term 10 years that in 2 one. This means that on the contrary, one dollar tomorrow are better than a dollar today, this is real on opposite meaning regarding the contrary one where thanks to inflaction and many different economical situation, a dollar today was...
Notes on chart, but in short... I'm looking at the idea that if the 2/10 yield doesn't invert then a target of about 245-250ish area by Jan/Feb of 2019. If we do carry over for inversion on the 2/10 I'm looking longer term of roughly Sept. of 2020 as target for bottom of around 138-155. Just my thoughts and please let me know what think.
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Since the begining of the rise in 2 year yield, USD was following closely. However, USD did not follow rates to new high, but diverged instead. Note that the momentum in 2y yield is slowing, which could portend fall in interest rates in not very distant future, which could in turn hurt USD.
The early month of October began with a myriad of experiences when the equity market went leaching in the red after a break from the long bull run since February. The DJI shed more than 600 points in a single session as risk-on mode eroded unconventionally as investors sought catalysts that precipitated the downfall. The sneeze that began in the US gave a cold to...
Do not forget Yields are nothing other than yield to maturity and pre-tax based on the ask side of the market and is not messing around! Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an ex-insider! Have a good Trading Week! Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!
Charting the LOG of the US 2y yield (blue line) compared to that of the US 10y yield (red line) here shows the heavy move up in the 2y compared to the 10y. This, in my opinion, is very important because a 2y yield at or above 3% will likely drive short-medium term market reaction. Some of my thoughts on the 2y, 5y, and 10y points of the curve for context: • The...
US 2y yield (blue line) vs GER 2y yield (red line)...The spread is immensely wide as the FED has been in a hiking phase wile the ECB still continues to apply a "whatever-it-takes policy". Eventually the ECB policy will have to roll back and front-end yields will react by backing up. I believe the German 2y yield will eventually move higher and lead the...
US Bonds getting hot, not boring at all. Here 2, 5 and 10 Yr Yield comparison. Remember Tradingview followers have a half price on Professional Trading Course for the next one in April. Just 25 seats available Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an ex-insider! Have a good Trading Week! Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!