Play may go as far a 1.115%. A counterattack from FED needed to save Equities... BTFD always wins? Not this time...When major forces on both sides come together, it comes down to a sort of exchange case 1, which we shall call: " Selling life as expensive as possible " Buyers play ... Sellers happy to exchange at the resistance line, but since FED is...
FED interest rate cut refilled. If you look at the forward interest rates on 2-year US bonds, the market has been pushing for further interest rate cuts in recent days. The figure shows that, technically, the Fed's benchmark interest rate starts at 0.96%. Therefore, I believe the dollar may start to weaken in the coming weeks.
US BONDS 2 Y yield ut W idea "Every breath you take and every move you make Every bond you break, every step you take, I'll be watching you Every single day and every word you say Every game you play, every night you stay, I'll be watching you Oh, can't you see you belong to me How my poor heart aches with every step you take Every move you make, and every vow...
Unless some miracle happens, looks like the 2Y is heading to 0..
The chart patterns indicated that the US2Y yield is going to break and stay below 1.500. The implications are that the spread (or difference) between US10Y minus US2Y is getting smaller. This, in turn, is suggesting reversion or a correction in US Indices towards the mean You can see the initial chart pattern A, which led to the corresponding drop to point 1,...
Tight YCI - 2Y note minus 3M note (blue) Tracks SPX (orange) well from Apr 19. suggests a pullback to 3070 The US10Y/US03M due to invert as well.
Here we are tracking the final chapter in Wave IV, having cratered through the 61.8% retracement of the 2016/19 uptrend the next level to track is 1.24%. I expect losses will be capped below here to keep broader risks from cascading out of control. Whilst to the topside, resistance can be found at 1.96%, a previous corrective high. Markets have cornered the Fed,...
President trump is crazy deliberately manipulated bond yield rise to temporarily drop He's crazy What can the President do for granted there's no way to die property No President has ever intervened so much in the market
In the past two recessions, US02Y bounced up. Will it do the same this time?
If you take a look at the previous recession's pattern, it looks like it's about to happen again.
Using a weekly chart to predict the path of short term interest rates, it appears lower rates are ahead. The path toward lower interest rates which continues to keep the inflation game going.
I am looking for a bear steepner at this time. Keep an eye on 10y yields. We may see kumo breakout soon. This will impact a few things. For more details: Please visit my blog chartsonmac.wordpress.com. You can send an email there as well if you want me to post something. Thanks,
Long-term, US 2 year going to 6% per huge cup and handle. (See other chart.)
Finishing up a huge, multi-year cup and handle. Get out of bonds and go short.
Going to 1%. 100 basis pt. Fed cut coming.
By decrementing US10Y from US02Y we see the actual breakout so to speak. Volatile. Already touched the previous Global Resistance with a huge spike and most likely next 2 to 3 years are going to be volatile as well coming to an end around Nov 2021 - the point that looks pretty similar to what we already saw in 1991 | 2001 | 2008 and notice since 2008 the move...