Caddy approaching serious technical support zone (1,33-1,34) -200 dma + trendline Need to watch for crude oil price as USDCAD and WTI intraday correlation is very strong. Also waiting for bullish reversal candlestick formation, not opening position without seeing that. Fundamentally both US and Canadian GDP figures outperformed, inflation momentum is picking...
The recent risk rally has encouraged commodity currencies higher. As crude ignores the globalized downturn in economic output and ongoing "pump at all costs" mantra of producers, the Canadian dollar has hit a three-month high against the dollar. Crude aside, traders have also factored in the fact that the potential for a rate cut from the Bank of Canada had...
Gold has pulled back slightly, but still up almost 15 percent since 2016. Traders don't believe the current rally as they look hopeful of more central bank quantitative easing, which is exactly why gold has had its run this year; and it is why I have been saying fundamentals have been strengthening for gold for roughly 16 months. After gold volatility hit...
With markets on edge and Japanese inflation data this week, those short the yen are hoping the Bank of Japan Governor, Haruhiko " Kamikaze " Kuroda, will further increase the balance sheet through more quantitative easing. Because when everything else fails, he'll try to go all in. Or will he? Essentially, his brilliant idea to implement negative rates, or NIRP,...
Brent crude has been able to rally on little volume during the U.S. banking holiday and rumors surrounding a potential unified OPEC production cut, issued by the UAE energy minister just as WTI was carving out a 12 year low (and in the middle of the night, local time, no less.) Four days later, there has been no new reports of said production cut proposal, but...
Long term view of the dow since the post war boom adjusted for consumer prices. Symbol: DJY0 / CPIAUCSL
Currently, gold is budding up against intraday resistance, following two consecutive sessions of gains on a weaker dollar. As the rate hike came and went, many – even those who ushered in the hike with excitement – are beginning to wonder if the Federal Reserve waited far too long to boost interest rates. The yellow metal had began its two-day rally by finding...
Precious metals jump higher ahead of today’s FOMC minutes and potentially the first rate hike in the U.S. since 2007. Why? It’s most likely contributed to the fact that the majority of market participants believe Fed Chair Janet Yellen will remain extremely dovish post-rate increase. A dovish hike may be a hard sell , as Nomura suggests, but precious metals may...
Primary correction ABC with B as a triangle indicates (C) is the final move before the trend change. Is the Fed going to the printing presses to drive heightened inflation leading to sub .6 target for primary circle 3? See analysis from 11 months ago...
Gold mining stocks have been trending higher, along with the overall U.S. equity market, of late. The recent support in gold prices allowed the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) a strong close last week, pushing 15 percent off the November 18 low. Gold mining stocks really get a pass from traders, and it is still early to determine whether the move will last...
The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) has been beaten bad, falling over 13 percent prior to Friday’s rally. On a combination of low inflation and low growth, silver has fallen long out of favor with Wall Street (but remains a small investor’s favorite). But, there are a couple factors that could signal, at least in the short-term, SLV may see some upside. First, price...
Dollar-yen bulls may be forced to take pause after central bank decisions, from each respective currency, give traders something to chew on: The FOMC minutes yesterday were nothing short of redundant. I am beginning to think it is the same speech month-after-month, but financial outlets took whatever they could to spin it as hawkish as possible. That should...
$1,000 per ounce is near - an existential victory for Wall Street Historically, gold has been a go-to for times of financial uncertainty, whether deflationary or inflationary. Unfortunately, with the perception that central banks around the world will stimulate until growth shows up (hasn't so far) and a global slowdown won't turn into a global recession, gold...
The Australian dollar is coming off a sizable gain against the greenback, following an employment jump of 58,600. This pushed the unemployment rate down to 5.9 percent from 6.2 percent in September. Analysts are expecting this to hinder further rate cuts near-term, while economist Stephen Koukoulas believes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may indeed raise...
Junk bonds are typically just that - junk. But, the iShares High Yield Corporate has been one of those crowded trades that just do not die. After witnessing the immaculate short squeeze from 1,864, the SPX staged an impressive rebound. But as I mentioned earlier today (on my InvestFeed - link below), the SPY is looking weak, and the ADX, which measures trend...
If price closes underneath the combination of support, traders will search out The U.S. dollar’s upward momentum quickly faded, following Wednesday’s FOMC minutes which suggested a December rate hike was “back on the table.” Traders were likely booking profits after the spike higher in the dollar index, which has caused dollar pair counterparts to advance into...
Should silver price in retail demand or economic sentiment? Silver prices have rallied hard since the beginning of October, up almost 10.5 percent since the October 2 low. However, traders are now budded up against key technical resistance. Will traders’ sentiment reject silver’s upward momentum, as it has done seven times since 2013, or will demand spark higher...
In " Gold Leaps Higher as Worries Mount ," I briefly pointed out how those very same institutions that championed quantitative easing policies implemented by the Federal Reserve are now coming out to proclaim quantitative easing added no substantial benefit to the real economy . Gold was pushed lower on the assumption that central banking policy would all pan...