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VireshK9 VireshK9 XLF, D, Long ,
20 0 4
XLF, D Long
XLF looking like a good long position here as a short bond proxy

If you expect an uptick in inflation like I do in the US, the Financials could be a good way to play this. With USD down more than 10% this year, commodities having risen by more, and continued labour market tightness, inflation could surprise to the upside over the next few months and $XLF could be the proxy to play this, rather than being short bonds - which ...

38 0 2
DXY, W
DXY/ GBP$/ $JPY/ EUR$ - HAS THE USD RALLY KILLED INFLATION?

Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment reversed in recent times? (Phillips curve) - 1. 1980s vs 2017 - Expansion in govt and consumer credit, economic boom, demographics 2. unemployment manipulation/ part time, participation rate 4pts lower 63 vs 67. 3. Servicing debt rather than consuming more goods/ services - wage v debt differential 4. ...

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