Obviously i believe history repeats itself and patterns appear several times throughout history specifically in bubbles. Every time it will differ because of market conditions being different but both follow a similar general path. Just having a bit of fun analysing some historic movements.
5 year long resistance area . May be third time lucky!
Financial climate looks set for a possible breakout. Will be watching closely to see how this plays out.
Keep an eye on the red box.
Gold has broken above the black trendline and has held as support in the last days. Prediction is it will test again which should trigger the buy. Profit should be taken at major resistance at 1365 USD. Stop is at 1279 USD.
The lure of $1240 is keeping bears active and buyers out, but there are already so many indicators favouring a turn / bottom that the r/r is likely to swing to the Bulls sooner than most think.
Any catalyst at all here will create quite a major short squeeze.
Whilst a lot of focus was on the diagonal support structures for gold, including a bottom at $1240, I prefer this more technical explanation.
The price has basically completed 3 drives down:
1) 1370 (top) to 1303
retrace to 61.8% line at 1328
2) 1328 to 1284 (1.272% extension)
retrace to 78.6% line at 1317
3) 1317 to 1261 (161.8% extension) =...
Failure on Friday to move much lower than $1290 and certainly not even challenge the trending support despite the NFP data tells us the bottom is truely in. I think this is now an accumulation zone whilst we await FOMC later in the month. Will slowly trend up until then.
The RSI on this 4hr chart has bottomed, we've seen it touch the channel bottom & I now think we will see a sustained push to break $1363 (black horizontal) which is the present resistance. With USDJPY looking set to head lower the conditions seem likely for a surge during the Asian session once we reopen after the weekend. Stay long to $1363, then buy more at the...
The above is my non-professional, long term view of gold in logarithmic scale. Given that the metal still seems to be in a phase of indecision, I will have to wait and see how this consolidation resolves before deciding on the likely long-term direction of the gold price.
I like this area for support. Was major area of resistance prior to the recent breakthrough plus the 50DMA has now caught up to this area. Add on that the general political and world uncertainty and I don't think the markets will stray lower for now.
After a clear rally, Gold finally reached the support again. Almost every gold trader has the level of 1,300 on the screen and in this area, there is an enormous number of orders, on the one hand stops for all traders that are already long positioned, but also pending orders for long trades. In addition, the level of 1,300 hits the 38 Fibonacci level. Every...
Alternative read on this chart to my prior post on Gold is that we have a head and shoulders in play here and the completion of that move would give us a retrace back towards the $1300 area.
RSI is oversold so this isn't my preferred option but is a possibility nevertheless.
I have two favoured short targets here. Either the channel bottom or the 20DMA. Latter needs to catch the price up and form a decent support if we are to see more upside. TP $1320
Gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Gold was the basis of economic capitalism for hundreds of years until the repeal of the Gold standard, which led to the expansion of a fiat currency system in which paper money doesn't have an implied backing with any physical form of monetization. AU is the code for Gold on the Periodic table of elements, and the price above is Gold quoted in US Dollars, which is the common yardstick for measuring the value of Gold across the world.
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GC1!
