A video analysis looking at the fundamentals of the dollar and where we expect it to move to next.
The inflation narrative in financial markets are very strong right now and its quite possible the market gets caught out...
I discuss the prospects for the dollar in the second half of 2021 and early 2022.
Let me know in the comments your own thoughts.
Trendline drawn from 4H TF. Lots of rejection to the downside as you can see in that zone. Will look for confirmation to enter with a small lotsize as i'll need to place the SL about 80 points below entry, below the trend line.
Inflation report being released tomorrow 1.30pm GMT and if the results are bad (i.e. inflation is high/worse than expected), we'll likely...
Memeline supporting uptrend has broke
Backtest of underside of SR
Seems a good bet especially with growing inflation concerns
Close through the SR box would make me re-evaluate and likely close though!
I have been plotting BTC against GOLD (left) and M2 (right) to try and look at the value adjusted for inflation and buying power (using gold to measure buying power).
M2 is the amount of money in the world (to simplify it) and BTC / M2 has already broken the 2017 ATH by 7.81%. This is a good sign as it shows that we have surpassed the previous cycle high when...
Stella Lumens XLM and Ripple XRP are both awaiting a few billion dollars investment into Bitcoin. Sideways movement in BTC will encourage another quadrupling in both these cryptocurrencies we saw from Nov 20 at 13:00 UTC to Nov 24 at 01:00 UTC
I would genuinely consider the content of this video.
This is not financial advice. I am not a financial adviser.
Key word right now that I want you to keep in mind - Inflationary.
Why? That's the period we are going through, when this occurs you can tell metals rise, check out copper, gold, platinum ...the list is endless...! I can go on about various other instruments too. We could even go back to 60/70's Want to know further in depth what happened then - message me...
If you expect an uptick in inflation like I do in the US, the Financials could be a good way to play this.
With USD down more than 10% this year, commodities having risen by more, and continued labour market tightness, inflation could surprise to the upside over the next few months and $XLF could be the proxy to play this, rather than being short bonds - which...
Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment reversed in recent times? (Phillips curve) -
1. 1980s vs 2017 - Expansion in govt and consumer credit, economic boom, demographics
2. unemployment manipulation/ part time, participation rate 4pts lower 63 vs 67.
3. Servicing debt rather than consuming more goods/ services - wage v debt differential