darcsherry

GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up

darcsherry Updated   
OANDA:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Amidst Uncertainties, Cable Market Grapples Despite U.K. Economy's 0.2% Growth

In a twist against expectations for a flat reading, the U.K. economy witnessed a 0.2% growth in the second quarter, bolstered by a 0.5% monthly increase in June. However, lingering inflation concerns loom, potentially restraining future growth with the looming possibility of further interest rate hikes.

Shifting gears, the U.S. Dollar held steady on Friday, its value scarcely wavering as traders absorbed the latest inflation data. The U.S. consumer price index matched predictions, showing growth in July compared to the previous month. This outcome prompted speculation that the Fed might maintain current interest rates in September, while also prompting a reduction in expectations for a rate cut this year, maintaining rates near 22-year highs.

At this pivotal juncture, the market's focus tightens on impending economic indicators from both economies in the upcoming week. All eyes are on the 1.27000 level; any failure to defend it could usher in a deeper downtrend movement.

GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find solid support at $1.27000, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!

The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets, including the Claimant Count Change, ILO Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, and FOMC Minutes. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.

In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.

Keep a close eye on that critical confluence at $1.27000, where an ascending trendline intersects in the Daily timeframe. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.

Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!

Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.

It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.

I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.

Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
Comment:
Trading activities is currently limited to a specific range as we anticipate a signal, which could manifest as a breakout or breakdown of this range, presenting potential trading prospects. Importantly, the price movement continues to stay above this week's key level at the $1.27000 zone, indicating that the possibility of favorable buying chances remains. A comprehensive analysis of this market structure will be the focus of our forthcoming live session.

Good Morning

Trade closed manually:
The sell position has been closed at the break-even point, restoring the status quo. We are now in a state of anticipation, poised for either a breakdown or a breakout of the range identified this morning, which will pave the way for potential trading opportunities.

Trade active:
After closing the sell position yesterday, trading has been stuck in a narrow range as GBPUSD struggles to find buyers in the Asian session. The UK employment data released this morning came in below expectation. This development casts a shadow over the impending November interest rate hike deliberations by the Bank of England. The market's immediate reaction demonstrated a surge of bullish sentiment. The breakout/retest of the resistance line at $1.20750 may represent a pivotal signal to validate buying opportunities.

Good Morning

Trade active:
Secure buy position

Good Morning

Trade active:
The market sentiment still remains bullish as price action remains above the ascending trendlines. We shall discuss this in detail during our upcoming live session.

Good Morning

Trade active:
UPDATE

Trade active:
As outlined in our earlier live session today, it's prudent to safeguard all buy positions. We remain attentive to upcoming opportunities.

Trade closed manually:
With a modest profit, all buy positions have been closed, highlighting the persistent range-bound trading activities since the week's commencement—a testament to the prevailing market indecision. The recent dismal UK Retail Sales data adds to the challenges faced by the Pound Sterling. Nonetheless, we maintain a patient stance, keenly observing market participant reactions to this intricate market structure. As we await either a potential breakdown or breakout from this range for trading opportunities.

Good Morning


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