The 10year Bond Yields / US10Y is trading inside a Channel Up since May 1st. The last two weeks the price is pulling back after a Higher High rejection and Double Top on Resistance A (4.888), aiming at the bottom of the Channel Up. That is a buy opportunity to target 4.888 again. If on the other hand the 1day MA50 breaks (is untouched since July 20th), sell and...
the detail is shown in the above Idea. I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Harmonic patterns. US10Y BAT has captured the area between the monthly Fibonacci level
It has been a big week of central bank policy announcements. While central banks in the US, UK, Switzerland, and Japan left key policy rates unchanged, the trajectory ahead remains vastly different. These central bank announcements were accompanied by a significant upward breakout in bond yields. Interestingly most of the increase in yields has been driven by...
Caption says enough, 4.8% incoming within a month or two. Powell my guy, you are stuck.
The US #Dollar has pulled back a bit: At MAJOR SUPPORT At Green Moving Avg = Support RSI is at 50 (neutral bullish unless crosses lower) Weekly TVC:DXY is 50-50 The RSI is curling over but the MACD is now above 0 = down trend over Hmmm, interesting scenario Not sure what to make of it Monthly #currency ------------------------------- The 2Yr #Yield broke...
Divergence implies we have seen highs in rates. RSI making lower highs as yields move up. Looking for a bull steepener as economy enters recession or slows. Applicable to traders in bonds. The short rate is most affected by Fed policy. A weakening in 2 year yields May presage Fed cuts.
#1-This Is The US02Y Your Broker Doesnt Want You To Know About Trading these bonds can be a challenge if you dont know technical analysis. #2-What Everybody Ought To Know About The US Government Bonds 2 Year Yield Business Getting a yeild on your trade is the most important factor especailly when it comes to ttrading for profit. #3-These Must Be Some Of...
This shakeout pattern is one a a few permutations that my clients see a lot in my work. Here it is in oil recently. Its a fast up and down high volatility top the leads to a weak ascending channel then down and down. 20 year yields also doing similar and I am trading this by buying TLT. Not advice. Very tradable. Will probably get back to the next...
The US Treasuries were in the market spotlight during the previous week. Their sell-off continued also during the week, when yields reached their highest level at 4.88% for 10Y benchmark, which was its highest level for the last 16 years. The yields started to relax a bit on Thursday, however, Friday’s strong jobs report supported market sentiment on potential for...
Just doing a fib retracement on the weekly showing that this is still early trend reversal days. This could easily extend to the 50%-60% retracement levels (8%-10%) The US money printing, low interest and cheap credit days are counted. The hangover after the party is the worst.
Good day Traders and investors, The 10 year yield on the 6 month chart. This is the entire history on one chart. What is going on with the 10 year yield? It is getting very, very volatile. It all started in 2008 with the financial crisis just looming around the corner. At the same time it broke the .236 on the Fibonacci sequence and has been diving ever since....
ENG: Very basic and simple info: Bond yields go UP when no one is interested in buying bonds. It's a way to entice market participants to buy in. - We saw yields on the 10 year paper go up in quite a quick move. - No one was buying long term US treasuries. - All of the sudden we saw an intervention by big money last week that went hand in hand with the Yen...
After a strong tightening of US financial conditions – primarily led by higher real rates and USD – we hear increasing acknowledgement that the markets are doing the heavy lifting of central banks and replacing the need for them to hike the Fed funds rate. That was the message we heard last week from Fed members Daly, Goolsbee and Bostic. This suggests that if...
The 30 Year Treasuries have hit Major Resistances. Yields will drop below 3.5% by this time next year. A MAJOR BOND RALLY is starting as the FED will Monetize the Long End of the Curve.
I'm hearing some have 18% targets for 10 year #yields! That would be an EPIC generational event, greater than 1981, where rates fell short of 16%. First, we got a 100 year resistance line at 5.4%. 1970s bull era for #gold #silver started above that line! #fintwit #inflation
A little lesson in interest rates for you kids out there following me. The notion that rates are too high for the market to go up is nonsense, we're basically at the same interest rate as when the Dot Com Bubble and Housing Bubble occurred. The low interest rates you've seen for the last 15 years is because of the housing bust and subsequent QE. You can see...
Hello, my fellow traders 👋 BIRKENSTOCK on monthly chart rejected from supply area at 98$. In case we break down the trend line I am looking for a short with target at 88.25$. Stop loss above supply zone (99$). On the other side price is still in up trend which can lead to a bounce from trend line and break out of resistance above. If this happens I am looking to...
This 2/1 Gann Fan line has been in existence since 1981 and is about to be tested. For those that don't use gann fans - the 2/1 line is typically associated with a large pop. The 10 yr is already on a tear and this could result in a very fast pop to 5% in the coming weeks.