While retiring after some decent gains during this whipsaw day, I thought I'd go over utilizing the Weekly trend indicator, and how that ended up during a recession vs the occasional downtrend signal. To recap the video if you don't feel like listening, the ONLY time a Weekly Downtrend Signal has occurred, and that index prices were lower when the Weekly Uptrend...
Instead of waiting for NBER to officially declare the confirmation of recession, an alternative way to identify is using the U.S. indices quarterly chart, especially the S&P. Typically, economists call a recession when GDP has declined for two consecutive quarters. A committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is responsible for officially...
Made a list of a few things for crypto holders to be optimistic about the recession/depression about to unfold in the global markets right now. - Crypto's market cap is less than 1% (possibly even less than 0.1%) of traditional stocks. If the stock market goes down, - Banks are taking their time raising interest rates on savings accounts while pushing mortgage...
Wassup people, I have another "Silent Build" here. A quick 3 min video on the movement of the market & to keep in mind always use your wicks or pivots as a price action guide. Always use your higher timeframes just as much as you use your lower timeframes. Taking a look at SPY's weekly chart, we see the COVID recovery from Mar-Aug. In Aug price stalled & went...
The more positive way of looking at LUNA, and other crypto disasters in general, is that these sorts of systemic problems eventually all get caught as the foundation falls underneath. In fiat, these sorts of issues get covered up, bailed-out, and hidden behind tools like quantitative easing as people get pushed out into the streets through inflation and housing...
An analysis of the recent dip in crypto (and stocks as a whole), similarities and differences from the 2017 rally (and crash), and how it might affect the trajectory of the crypto ecosystem as a whole. The money leaving the space currently is likely mostly from traditional investor types who probably saw the NFT/crypto craze in the media and got curious, but got...
Just a very quick TradingView exclusive update on the PSX. Today we are at a critical point and i believe it is more likely this creates selling pressure to at least visit the 100-day MA before continuing a decline. this could be a slow decline or very fast if we head into a crash. We need to be watchin if the FED reverses policy which they may not considering...
Inflation in the US markets hit 7.9% last month - while the Federal Reserve was claiming that inflation was "transitory" all of 2021, realizing the US dollar may be in risk of systemic collapse they finally started to consider the possibility of raising interest rates (it's been near 0% for almost a decade now) -- arguably their only weapon to combat inflation at...
Today we are taking a look at the Case Shiller Home Index on a year-over-year chart as well as a price chart and using basic, long-term technicals to identify issues and opportunities. I believe we are heading into a recession over the next few years but we will have to see what crazy government program is created to fight that recession that maybe boosts housing...
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I explain why on this particular time frame the 2H at this point in time there is a greater probability for the south. Please note carefully for every probability estimate in one direction, there is a residual probability in the opposite direction (e.g. if 51% for the south there is a 49% chance for the north). There is no way I know to accurately assess or...
Key things to take away from this: TD9 is still giving a bear market state. Slowly Accumulate, don't pound the table. Day traders should leverage from this by betting against the market for any kind of pull up. Any selling opportunity will most likely to work out. Trump's announcement called some people down. I am expecting the market to go up to set a...
Hey Everyone, - WHO has officially released the a statement marking Coronavirus as a Global Pandemic, - Incremental load in Bond Market pushing yield curve to a negative. Like this analysis and we'll discuss in details about the current investing bubble that took place. Hold more cash, Cash is king in a recession.
In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #EURJPY and #GBPCHF #EURJPY looking bullish on: - Expectations of further BoJ easing - Poor JP consumer confidence - Soft BoJ monetary base - Good German PMIs and EA Inflation #GBPCHF looking bearish on: - Expectations of a strong franc - Poor UK construction PMI - Fresh BoJo proposal sentiment Stavros...
Jai Guru cred to TRex for inspirational TA cue/chart
How to easily understand the yield curve inversion. I also show you a method to plot the difference between the bond yields.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil