The situation with the DJI is now crazy! Some say the more times price approaches resistance the greater the chance of a breakout. Some say the opposite.
I've seen price fail to breakout after 9 hits on a support/resistance level (with other instruments). The DJI is now anybody's guess.
In this screencast I make out the argument for Bitcoin getting to $30,000 USD in 2 years. This is not a prediction. My speculative projection is based on geopolitical, macroeconomic issues and market psychology. No fundamentals involved.
Have a listen. If you have alternative ideas do share by commenting or PM. Let's share and learn together.
Well, well - 'everybody' (except me), is rushing madly bullish on the DJI, as there is now a 99% expectation that the Federal Reserve is gonna make not one but three interest rate cuts over the next 18 months. This post is relevant to risk management and trading psychology.
The hard evidence is that rate cuts in the similar economic circumstances are followed by...
Bloodbath is not a derogatory term - it is commonly used in trading circles to describe a total catastrophic meltdown. Markets are about to panic for a number of reasons. As panic spreads there is usually precipitous fall in prices - as everybody rushes sell.
1. US-China trade war kicks into overdrive.
2. Tariff man has hit Mexico
3. Tariff man has squeezed...
This is a 6H chart of the DAX. Markets globally are heading south. Even the super-resilient Brazilian Bovespa is beginning to buckle. In this screencast I show what the price action is like for the DAX and why I think the market is exhausting. I may well be totally wrong - but I'll limit how wrong I am with an acceptable stop-loss.
Three main issues plague the...
Some may not have heard of Deutsche Bank. Some may not know what 'systematic risk' is. Well, whether you heard of any of this before listen up. DB has been in serious trouble for years and in recent weeks there is more trouble.
As the rules do not allow me to reference what I say here, people will need to Google some of this.
Deutsche Bank has been over...
This is an out-of-the-dog-house trade!
I say what I see which is a curve creating some probability for the north on GBPUSD. This is a 'Theory of curves' analysis. If the curve is right or wrong, the markets will tell us in a few days. For the moment I'm calling it.
This is not a recommendation to go long. I only label the position as 'long' because that is the...
Oil has taken a a more decisive turn. I focus on the 4H time frame review other time frames briefly.
My methodology is transparent and reproducible by everybody. I explain in this screen cast how I limit to what extent the market proves me wrong, but at the same time capitalise on when the market says I'm right in my probability estimates.
This is an update on Gold with a new curve showing probability broadly for the north. See my previous video on a smaller curve.
The Theory of Curves is based on exploiting patterns in Chaos. Read up on Chaos Theory. The markets are pure chaos so it is every proper trader's business to know about it.
Wall Street (DJI) just dialled 666 i.e. 25666. Let's see what will happen! If you're superstitious, you may like this one. It's more about psychology than about technical analysis. Psychology rules the markets. To what extent we shall see!
Amma telling you lot - get ready for PLATINUM!! Avoid dithering. Look at the crazy structure level and support. Yes - price could fall out as well as it could break north. Nonetheless this is an opportunity for a controlled loss (aka stop-loss) on a lower time frame e.g. 1H to 6H. No guarantees - no predictions - no bull! LOL.
I apologise to the bears!! LOL. My technical analysis informs me that the bullish move that is obvious to everybody, indicates that $10,000 is the next probable way point. No predictions - no guarantees. Price could easily collapse however. So don't blame me if it does!
Tesla stock (TSLA) is right now at a strong monthly support level. Think! Everybody is gonna be watching this! Well, I mean everybody who is sensible enough to watch key support levels at higher time frames. I'm not saying that everybody needs to play monthly time frames. What I am saying is that the strong level of support creates good probability for a bounce...
Anything can happen in the next few hours. Up or down? Theory of curves on Gold seems to indicate probability is north (greater than south). No guarantees. All you can do is take an acceptable loss. No loss - no gain! The choice is yours.