konhow

07:37

konhow

How high will gold prices reach? They will rise in proportion to the U.S. debt. Today, we will study the relationship between U.S. debt and gold prices during these periods. We will also explore how high gold prices might go and how soon they could reach these levels. Micro Fold Futures Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: •...

06:34

konhow

Which market is a better hedge when a geopolitical conflict started. I know many will say that it must be crude oil. Over the past 2 major conflicts, we could see that crude oil did not gain any momentum, in fact it came off. So which markets have reacted positively to all these tensions so far, and will continue to remain this way with future tensions? My...

07:23

konhow

A brand-new cycle for the Japanese economy is in the making with a higher inflation to come and a weaker yen. When the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates for the first time in 17 years, the Japanese Yen instead of strengthening, it crashed. Micro Japanese Yen Futures Ticker: MJY Minimum fluctuation: 0.000001 per JPY increment = $1.25 Japanese Yen Futures &...

08:09

konhow

Whenever gold prices are trending higher, it hints at trouble ahead. Historically, silver always catches up later. During past crises, when this happens, this “silver shift” is very fast and furious. Its magnitude for silver is much greater than that of gold. Video discussion: 1. One key reason why silver is lagging behind for the time being 2. Why Gold and...

06:49

konhow

Many interpreted from the latest FOMC meeting that the Fed is going to have three rate cuts this year, but Jerome Powell did not say that. Let me quote directly from his transcript: “If the economy evolves as projected, the median participant projects that the appropriate level of the federal funds rate will be 4.6 percent at the end of this year” And he...

08:01

konhow

AI technology has been recognized as the new future since the end of 2022. The rapid advancements in AI and its stock prices sparked debates regarding the sustainability of its current valuations. Indeed, AI technology has a long runway ahead, but like all journeys, it will eventually encounter a bend. In today's tutorial, we are going to study its fundamental...

08:31

konhow

The relationship between inflation and Bitcoin - they moves in tandem together, in the same direction. We saw Bitcoin has broken above its 2021 high, and it is likely to continue this trend. Many attribute the reason behind this rally to the approval of Bitcoin ETF by SEC in January of this year. While this approval serves an incentive, the core reason for...

08:19

konhow

Inflation was only keenly felt, especially after the pandemic in April 2021, when the CPI broke above 2% to 4.15%, and then quickly soared to a high of 9% in June 2022. However, gold has been signaling impending inflation since the year 2000, which was 24 years ago. Currently, gold is also indicating further upside potential over the long term. What will be the...

07:37

konhow

While many of us celebrate the stock markets reaching new highs, central banks worldwide are actively purchasing gold, and institutions are hedging into treasuries and yields. Interest rates are determined by the central banks whereas Yields are determined by the investors. If you choose to lend or borrow money over a longer period, such as 10 or 30 years, you...

08:23

konhow

Today, we will discuss how to apply inter-market analysis effectively. While there are numerous analysis methods available, I find comparing the index, an influential stock, and a smaller yet actively traded stock to be effective in projecting what is coming ahead. Let's make some interesting observations in the tech market, focusing on the Nasdaq Index, the...

06:59

konhow

Just about 1.5 years ago, inflation reached the highest point in recent decades. The January inflation number for 2024 was released on February 13th. Its CPI has improved from 3.4% for December to 3.1%. However, the major US stock indices collapsed more than 1% on the same day. Why is there such nervousness surrounding improved inflation, and what are its...

07:33

konhow

At the latest FOMC meeting on January 31st, Jerome Powell stated, 'The Fed is not ready to start cutting,' which immediately caused the yield to pivot higher. During an recent interview on Sunday, February 4th, he reiterated that the US central bank is not yet prepared to cut interest rates, resulting in another increase in the yield. Today, we will discuss the...

07:25

konhow

In January alone, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and other tech companies have collectively cut more than 21,000 jobs. Furthermore, last year marked one of the worst periods in recent memory, with approximately 260,000 tech professionals losing their jobs. Normally, we expect to see cost-cutting measures during a contraction stage, as was the case during the Dot-com...

08:57

konhow

Whenever we see a divergence, this means they are going through a process of moving apart or deviating from what we are seeing. In this case the US markets, even though it appears to be trending higher, but its activities and especially its transacted volume are telling us otherwise. And what are their implications? My name is Kon How, my work in this channel,...

09:02

konhow

The recent development of the Red Sea crisis does not suggest that it is going to resolve anytime soon. Which markets have already started moving? And how far will they rise this time? We are going to recap the supply chain crisis during the pandemic and also delve into the current supply chain disruption caused by the Middle East conflict, which has led to the...

07:55

konhow

The first week of 2024 the US market opened around the high and closed around the low. It is very similar in 2022 and 2023. And what is the market telling us from the first week of 2024 and the direction for the rest of the year? We are going match the fundamental reason with this technical observation over the last two years. Also, what is the key...

08:17

konhow

If you ask anyone on the street, 'Do you think living expenses and food prices will be higher in a year or two from now?' 9 out of 10 will likely say 'Yes.' This means inflation is still a concern. Risk 1, U-turn in inflation. Risk 2, An expansion in geopolitical tension Risk 3, A delayed recession in 2024 Comex Gold Futures & Options Its Minimum...

07:10

konhow

During the December FOMC conference, the fed said the appropriate level for interest rate or the fed funds rate will be 4.6% at the end of 2024 from current 5.5%, 3.6% at the end of 2025, and 2.9% at the end of 2026. Many reporters take that as Fed’s hint to cut rate in 2024, but the Fed added saying these projections are not the committee decision or plan. So...