As the drivers of exports and tourism continue to be missing in action, the negative GDP growth trend is here to stay for the rest of the year, and perhaps beyond. Rising political uncertainty is another reason why we expect the Thai baht to remain one of Asia's weakest currencies over the remainder of the year. 🦠 Thailand has been one of Asia’s Covid-19 success...
Governing Council stands ready to adjust policy further and to deploy other market tools if required: BOC . 25 bps cut probabilities at the April meeting or sooner.
Gold was always a safe heaven and it will always stay that way! Here is the price, I think bulls are ready to go for, as there is a lot of uncertainty in the markets and easing monetary policy is no longer helping to boost markets. Waiting for ECB to lower interest rates
The price of eur/usd is moving now! It stopped below the dynamic resistance identified by the EMA20 daily. So it did not complete the movement that we expected this week. The analysts had expected a slight decline in the US dollar against the other majors because of the FED conference, the announcement of the pay slips of the non-agricultural sector and the level...
The price of the NIKKEI is above the key resistance formed by the two EMAs (20 and 200 periods) daily and by 38.2% of the Fibonacci retracement. With this weekly closing above 22070 points, it is very likely that the price goes directly to the target. The next is in the area about 22900 points. Coinciding with 23.6% of the Fibonacci retracement. This level will...
The price of gbp/jpy broke the support zone. The one identified by the EMAs 20 and 200 periods and by 50% of the Fibonacci retracement, on a daily time frame. Violating the whole area between 145.60 and 145.00 and confirming the closing below it, the price will continue this downtrend. The next target that coincides with the first key static support is at around...
Up and Down The price having started going upward to test the resistance placed in area $ 1350 has created a series of sales which brought it back down again, with a retest of the static support located at 1280 $. Both technically and fundamentally the scenario has not changed: the trend remains bullish and would be invalidated in the medium term only if the...
Unhedged capital flows into the EZ have been attributed to the following factors: - Perception that EZ political risks have subsided, returning market focus back to economic fundamentals - Improving economic fundamental picture and upside surprises in eco indicators have prompted significant asset allocation shift to European equities and thus, expectations of a...
The Risky BOJ front run trade using CPI inferences - I find it very interesting that the BOJ is releasing ALL of its key economic data (minus GDP) before making the easing decision, especially as we have already had CPI data this month so we will have an 2 CPI releases in one month which ive never seen happen before (CPI from JPY is usually due next week). -...
With the next fed policy coming along, it seems as if the Dollar will gain momentum once again particularly with this pair as investors may find the USD attractive after the next meetings announcements. The Histogram shows bulls rebuilding strength is it breaks out of the R/Trend very soon. As for the chart, a HS Pattern upon completion with the daily trend AND...
Overvalued Swiss franc? On march 19th, 2015 SNB left benchmark interest rates @ -1.25% and -0.5% and -0.75% on deposits, to discourage holding investments in Swiss Franc. The bank believes that the Franc is overvalued and should continue to weaken overtime. The SNB revised down growth in the Swiss economy to 1% from 2%. They believe that a stronger Franc keeps...
the U.S. and the European Union announced a fresh round of sanctions against Russia on Wednesday 16 of July following the annexation of Crimea back in March and ongoing tensions in the east of Ukraine. The U.S. package was the largest round of penalties so far, with Russia's oil producer Rosneft hit as well as other energy, financial and defense firms....