Hello boys, it's been a great journey posting ideas here since the correction in May, but sadly this will be my last post. If you have been following me, then I hope you've been taking advantage on my warnings of these dips I've been indicating for months, for this is once in a life time chance. Let's not be sappy and I will give you my final play by play expectations on what will happen in the next few days, but remember none of these are financial advice.
Next week, on the 28th, the FED will make a decision about the current monetary policy and interest rate of the current market that will most likely affect both the stock market and the crypto market along with it.
It's most likely that they will mention about the possibility of tapering and hiking the interest rate base on the CPI data that was released earlier this month that sent the stock market and crypto market down. Which will force companies to turn to the dollar since if the interest rate/tapering happens then asset classes will be hugely affected. You can look up the inverse correlation of the US dollar and the crypto market for yourself. To put it in simple terms, if the dollar goes up, crypto goes down. Companies and most big players already left different markets (including crypto) and the only people who are buying are the retail traders and hedge funds. If you're following whale wallets in the past few days you can see that a lot of them are pulling out their cash outside of exchanges and injecting coins back to the market from their cold wallets. Anybody that tells you that institutions are buying are only shilling the coins otherwise.
As expected and what I mentioned from my posts before, BTC is beginning to rally to the upside in anticipation for the biggest sell off we'll be seeing in the crypto market that will send BTC down to 12-19k area. I can see it rallying all the way towards the 35k-38k area and staying there until Monday until we start to see the stock market make their movement in anticipation for the Fed's announcement on the 28th of July.
There will be consolidation and bouncing around 28k, 24k, and 19k before having the final dip towards 12k area which will likely be in September. Why September? Because after major market corrections, the U.S. House of Committee usually have meeting about policies for the FED, but on the month of August they only have two week session before going to a break until September. So I expect a dip to 19k then see a rally to 28k area as a major fake out in the month of August, then dip to 12k around the beginning week in September.
Who knows, maybe if the market do crash and we see a temporary fix by the government and the Fed, that will be the catalyst of BTC to go for the next leg of the bull run. I would be expecting it to happen in December 2021/February 2022 at the latest. But that's too far for anybody to try to predict what will happen.
I'm sorry I couldn't give you the entire details on how I got these informations but if you follow the stock market, crypto wallets, federal news and different sectors and their movements, macro economics and cyclicals then you'd get the point. The market will do what the market have to do.
Be safe trading!
ciao
Next week, on the 28th, the FED will make a decision about the current monetary policy and interest rate of the current market that will most likely affect both the stock market and the crypto market along with it.
It's most likely that they will mention about the possibility of tapering and hiking the interest rate base on the CPI data that was released earlier this month that sent the stock market and crypto market down. Which will force companies to turn to the dollar since if the interest rate/tapering happens then asset classes will be hugely affected. You can look up the inverse correlation of the US dollar and the crypto market for yourself. To put it in simple terms, if the dollar goes up, crypto goes down. Companies and most big players already left different markets (including crypto) and the only people who are buying are the retail traders and hedge funds. If you're following whale wallets in the past few days you can see that a lot of them are pulling out their cash outside of exchanges and injecting coins back to the market from their cold wallets. Anybody that tells you that institutions are buying are only shilling the coins otherwise.
As expected and what I mentioned from my posts before, BTC is beginning to rally to the upside in anticipation for the biggest sell off we'll be seeing in the crypto market that will send BTC down to 12-19k area. I can see it rallying all the way towards the 35k-38k area and staying there until Monday until we start to see the stock market make their movement in anticipation for the Fed's announcement on the 28th of July.
There will be consolidation and bouncing around 28k, 24k, and 19k before having the final dip towards 12k area which will likely be in September. Why September? Because after major market corrections, the U.S. House of Committee usually have meeting about policies for the FED, but on the month of August they only have two week session before going to a break until September. So I expect a dip to 19k then see a rally to 28k area as a major fake out in the month of August, then dip to 12k around the beginning week in September.
Who knows, maybe if the market do crash and we see a temporary fix by the government and the Fed, that will be the catalyst of BTC to go for the next leg of the bull run. I would be expecting it to happen in December 2021/February 2022 at the latest. But that's too far for anybody to try to predict what will happen.
I'm sorry I couldn't give you the entire details on how I got these informations but if you follow the stock market, crypto wallets, federal news and different sectors and their movements, macro economics and cyclicals then you'd get the point. The market will do what the market have to do.
Be safe trading!
ciao