MacroView_Research

#Gold Testing Support Near Term Bounce Expected

FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Gold is testing lower levels of support as market participants aim to price in a potential rate hike in June by the Federal Reserve.

While intraday price action is oversold, the daily chart is indicating further selling could continue to below $1,230. If a close below this key level occurs, traders can expect XAUUSD to reach $1,215.

Subscribers of MacroView's "Daily Grind" were alerted of the potential of a $30+ drop as seen here.

Key factors to watch:

  • The four-hour chart z-score is -2.4 (daily z-score is -2.57). This suggests that prices are stretched and a score +/- 2 makes a great contrarian indicator.
  • Intraday RSI and Stochastic are both suggesting oversold conditions.
  • Multiple EMA bearish convergence, currently a 50/200 EMA bearish crossover is probable.

MacroView expects to see demand between $1,215/20. It's important to keep and eye on the short end of the yield curve. With a relatively strong negative correlation with the two and five year yield maturity, if those continue to rise, we could see more pressure on the yellow metal.

For more information on MacroView's products, or general questions and comments, feel free to message us.

Also, readers are encouraged to post their thoughts and charts!


Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.