GBP/USD, GBP/EUR, GBP/JPY, EUR/USD, USD/CNY, DXY
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC ORD 10P, MX OIL PLC ORD 0.01P, UK OIL & GAS PLC ORD 0.01P, VAST RESOURCES PLC ORD 0.1P, FRONTERA RESOURCES CORPORATION ORD SHS USD0.00004 (DI), VODAFONE GROUP PLC ORD USD0.20 20/21
FTSE 100, DAX Index, Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei 225
Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Brent Oil, Natural Gas, Bitcoin
BTC/USD, ETH/USD, BCH/USD, XRP/USD, LTC/USD, ETC/USD
US 10Y, Euro Bund, Germany 10Y, Japan 10Y Yield, UK 10Y, India 10Y
Gold, Brent Oil, Crude Oil, CFDs on Natural Gas, Palladium, Silver
I am waiting to see how the initial reaction is the second rates are released.
I am expecting the market to suck some sell stops at the bottom then power through.
Readings on the release is hawkish and structure is bullish on EU and EJ. So, we will see!
Wait and see how price reacts and get ready too buy!
The Aussie Dollar experienced strength throughout 2017 against its US counterpart with a strong rally to finish the year before forming a double top last week. Over the past week, AUDUSD has fallen almost 2%, following a CPI miss in Australia and a positive earnings report in the United States. Is this a sign of things to come for the remainder of 2018 or will ...
Please like and subscribe if you want more analysis from me... I will appreciate that.
Most of the economists gave A to Janet Yellen despite the fact that Fed's failed to tighten financial conditions. Three raises of interest rates since the end of 2016 didn't affect the economy at all - stock market keep going up, the dollar has not appreciated and investors ...
-4Hr: Retest of support line with bullish momentum towards resistance which I feel will retest and gain bearish momentum upon the interest rate decision
-Daily: retest of support line
- RBA governor Philip Lowe indicated in July that interest rates were likely to remain on hold for a while as Australians grappled with rising household debt, stubbornly weak ...
The rising in federal fund rate FEDFUNDS is currently increasing with a mild inflation rate CPIAUCSL.
Now we can see a trend that bonds and stocks are increasing altogether. That means the economy has recovered from 2008 crisis. The higher interest rate also means higher return from stock profits.
I think the increase in the combination of stock and fed interest ...
Daily head and shoulders currently trading around the height of the left shoulder.
Short 0.7298 Stop (Over Head) 0.7490 Target 0.6600
- Head and Shoulders
- Rising Neckline
- Trading at height of left shoulder
- RSI (14) signalling diverging highs between left shoulder and right shoulder
- 61.8% Fib Retracement from Oct 13th Low
- 20MA under ...
As expected the RBA deciced to keep the OCR unchanged at 150bps. 30D Aussie bank bills implied only a 2% chance of a cut, down from the 10% we saw several weeks ago. There were few hints as to further policy, and it certainly feels as if the calls/ rhetoric for further cuts has been dampened in recent meetings following the august reduction. As well as in recent ...
The $ and Fed funds remains flat on the day (Dec 56%) despite somewhat hawkish comments from Lockhart, and in particular putting November on the table.. though the market realistically has Nov priced fairly at 10% given a hike here wouldnt make much sense vs Dec. Fed Powell on the otherhand was much more neutral, offering little but more uncertainty/ data ...
RBA minutes broadly neutral on the margin. Aussie rates (30 day bills) are implying a 5% chance of an October 25bps cut. In general we've seen aussie rates firm up, with 30d bills moving from 7% last week and 9% the week before to now 5%, this firming/ steepening has been the general consensus further along the maturity curve where rate cut hopes are diminishing ...
SPX downside to 2000
1. Total CBOE Equity option volume broke Brexit highs and 1YR +2StanDevs at 36 to trade at 38 indicating we are entering an aggressive sell-off period (holders of underlying have scrambled to hedge their exposure in a fashion more aggressive than brexit! - which is particularly saying something given that we saw SPX trade 10% ...
Fed funds flopped back under 20% implied probability for a september hike following Fed Kaplans comments.
In reality the spike higher in early US trading was largely uncalled for with Rosengrens comments not much of a real impetus for long term stability.
As previously mentioned USD trading is likely to remain choppy, im opting to buy yen and short SPX and keep ...
Fed Funds Rallied up from 18% to 33% on the day with Fed rosengrens hawkish comments the only likely impetus.
Imo DXY here at 95 mid has an easy 50bps of topside left in it if rates can hold here at 33%, UST also seen higher across the board with the bench mark 10y yield breaking pre-brexit levels.
Long DXY, and shorting $yen on rallies is the way I intend on ...
Price is trading on strong support on the daily time frame (all though the candle has not closed) and hints at heading lower in the midst of the RBA Interest Rate Decision, announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia which is set to remain unchanged (Bullish). I will potentially be looking at entering soon on the 4-hour chart, although my preferred position would ...