Nemo_Confidat

USDCAD (incl. all major CAD pairs) - Short; (very) Bearish!

Short
FOREXCOM:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
As a dyed-in-the-wool USD bull,(as of late) I've been fighting the urge to load up on the Loonie. - But I'm weak, so I fold. I also can't overlook the mounting evidence.
All the planets are on their way for a (almost) perfect alignment for the Loonie;
- It's been way oversold since the second half of 2022 (because of the rate hike pause by the BoC);
- It is nearly impossible to make a case for anything other than one of (if not the") shallowest upcoming recession in the Western Hemisphere;
- Their NATO role is "limited" - to put it mildly - and if anything that far away money pit (Ukraine) is filled by EUR & USD mostly, the least of all CAD; (If anything, the war may wake up Canada to at least start questioning their NATO membership role, all together - as it is even more pointless than it's ever been. (Who, and How, exactly is going to invade Canada?? ...)
- Energy will continue to play a central role in world affairs;
- It's a big place with few people, who have lots of stuff - including an idiotic central leadership, like Norway; (In politics, "The Greens" are like a watermelon; Green on the outside but red on the inside.)
E.g.,
Long everything CAD, Short all else - for the foreseeable future.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.