I was just trying to find macro-cyclical patterns with respect to the S&P500.
1) The current recession narrative has been floating for a while. Feels like the world "expects it".
2) If 1 becomes true then a 50% correction from ATH seems relatively plausible.
3) This chart is 151 yrs old and the great depression started at the 60th year of the S&P. If we speculate that a "great depression" could be a recurring event happening roughly halfway through every 100 years cycle, then we could suggest the plausibility for an 80%+ drop happening within the next decade.
4) Depression or not, is this the final top of the S&P? If so, this chart seems to be somehow in agreement with Ray Dalio's hypothesis of a "changing world order" with respect to the united states literally stepping down from its position as the world's #1 economic power.
I hope he is wrong, I hate doomer theories. Not financial advice, this is pure speculation driven by curiosity, one guy's hypothesis and some chart patterns.
Curious to hear from some math genius!
1) The current recession narrative has been floating for a while. Feels like the world "expects it".
2) If 1 becomes true then a 50% correction from ATH seems relatively plausible.
3) This chart is 151 yrs old and the great depression started at the 60th year of the S&P. If we speculate that a "great depression" could be a recurring event happening roughly halfway through every 100 years cycle, then we could suggest the plausibility for an 80%+ drop happening within the next decade.
4) Depression or not, is this the final top of the S&P? If so, this chart seems to be somehow in agreement with Ray Dalio's hypothesis of a "changing world order" with respect to the united states literally stepping down from its position as the world's #1 economic power.
I hope he is wrong, I hate doomer theories. Not financial advice, this is pure speculation driven by curiosity, one guy's hypothesis and some chart patterns.
Curious to hear from some math genius!
