thecryer

Dotcom Burst vs Tech Burst

thecryer Updated   
NASDAQ:NDX   Nasdaq 100 Index
- i wanted to make this chart for long but i had to wait some confirmations, because i took an higher TF.
- Right now is really interesting to compare the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 versus the actual situation.

- like always i won't talk too much about FA because everything can happen in our world :
- Aliens destroy us.
- Putin push the red button.
- Meteorite hits earth.
- Jerome H. Powell printers no more electricity.

- let's back to the chart and i will try to make it simple :

- This chart is based on a 3 Months Timeframe, so 1 columns = 3 months.
- This graph is based purely on MACD and his Death Cross ( i will call it "DC" to short it)

The Dotcom Burst :

1/ in 2000, Nasdaq took a violent dip before MACD DC. ( 12 Months before ) ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ after that MACD DC, Nasdaq continued his downtrend but the dip started to be lighter for 15 Months. (Orange Vertical Line)
3/ The Storm was over in 2002 and Nasdaq started a consolidation to prepare his next parabolic move. ( Green Vertical Line )

The Tech Burst :

1/ The real dip happened already 12 months from now (Before MACD DC). ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ The MACD DC happened already 3+ months ago from now. ( Orange Vertical Line )
3 / We are still in a downtrend and not yet entered a recovery phase.

- What we can conclude is simple :

- When MACD Death Cross. The big dip is already behind us.
- Right now nothing is really different from 2000 in matter of TA, only the big numbers are different.

- " Mastering trading is anticipating movements, following the flow in real time means you are already late ".

Happy Tr4Ding !

PS : There's also something different in matter of time if u compare those charts. if you find it.. i will congratulate you !
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Bubbles :

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Michael Burry " Sell Everything ". August 1 - 2022.
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