After a quiet few weeks on gold, the yellow metal appears to be failing in this most recent breakout attempt that was observed on the daily time frame.
Weekly Time frame:
This is not at all surprising when you zoom out to the weekly chart, which clearly shows excessive exuberance to the upside, rallying quite substantially outside of the 3 ATR channel (the red bands), this set gold up for a nice period of profit-taking and consolidation, a period that we are still in currently.
Monthly Time frame:
This trend is also observed on the monthly time frame, with gold tagging the top of the 3 ATR channel before retreating, the 8 period ema
is also significantly detached from the most recent price action, sitting around $1420/ ounce.
Targets:
Watch the weekly time frame for a retracement back into the 1 ATR channel (the shaded purple region), at a minimum i would expect a tag of the channel mid point (white line) at around $1460/ ounce, but the greater likelihood is a move below the mid point to tag the lower half of the 1 ATR channel, closer to $1425/ ounce.
At this point gold would have sufficiently reset it's price action to become attractive again to traders (who are still the primary near-term price drivers).
Weekly Time frame:
This is not at all surprising when you zoom out to the weekly chart, which clearly shows excessive exuberance to the upside, rallying quite substantially outside of the 3 ATR channel (the red bands), this set gold up for a nice period of profit-taking and consolidation, a period that we are still in currently.
Monthly Time frame:
This trend is also observed on the monthly time frame, with gold tagging the top of the 3 ATR channel before retreating, the 8 period ema
is also significantly detached from the most recent price action, sitting around $1420/ ounce.
Targets:
Watch the weekly time frame for a retracement back into the 1 ATR channel (the shaded purple region), at a minimum i would expect a tag of the channel mid point (white line) at around $1460/ ounce, but the greater likelihood is a move below the mid point to tag the lower half of the 1 ATR channel, closer to $1425/ ounce.
At this point gold would have sufficiently reset it's price action to become attractive again to traders (who are still the primary near-term price drivers).
Trade active:
Gold appears to be moving out of the bull flag pattern that it has been trading within for the past few months, keep an eye out of this potential breakout
