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EUR/USD: Oversold, But Still Bearish

Short
FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
The EUR/USD currency pair is currently in a downtrend on all three timeframes (30-min, 4-hour, and daily). On the 30-minute chart, the pair is trading below its 200-period moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also trading below a descending trendline, which provides further resistance.

On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD currency pair is also trading below its 200-period moving average. The pair is also trading within a descending triangle pattern, which is a bearish pattern.

On the daily chart, the EUR/USD currency pair is trading below its 50-period moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also trading within a descending channel pattern, which is another bearish pattern.

Overall, the technical analysis on all three timeframes is bearish for the EUR/USD currency pair.

Elliot Wave Analysis

Based on Elliot Wave Theory, the EUR/USD currency pair is likely in a corrective wave C of a larger degree wave down. This means that the pair is likely to continue lower in the near term.

RSI and MACD

The RSI indicator on all three timeframes (30-min, 4-hour, and daily) is in oversold territory. This means that the pair is technically oversold and may be due for a bounce. However, the oversold condition does not necessarily mean that the pair will reverse its downtrend.

The MACD indicator on all three timeframes (30-min, 4-hour, and daily) is bearish. This means that the selling pressure in the market is stronger than the buying pressure.

Conclusion

The EUR/USD currency pair is in a downtrend on all three timeframes (30-min, 4-hour, and daily). The technical analysis, Elliot Wave Theory, and MACD indicator are all bearish for the pair. The RSI indicator is oversold, but this does not necessarily mean that the pair will reverse its downtrend.

Trading Strategy

Based on the technical analysis, traders may want to consider shorting the EUR/USD currency pair at current levels. However, traders should be aware that the pair is oversold and may be due for a bounce. Traders should also be aware of the geopolitical tensions and the weakening economic outlook in Europe, which could weigh on the euro in the medium to long term.

I hope this was helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
Trade wisely!
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