exlux99

DAX Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022

Short
XETR:DAX   DAX Index
DAX Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022

The current implied volatility is +- 467$ from the current opening of the weekly candle, 12685$

With this in mind, we have a 80% chance that the market is going to stay within the range:
TOP: 13143
BOT: 12226


At the same time, we can see that the average weekly candle, is around 2.1 - 2.46%

From the technical analysis POV, we can see that our asset is below EMA 50/100/200.
At the same from the volume POV, we can see that currently our CMF is positive, indicating a volume divergence much stronger on the bullish side.

Lastly, we can see that we are close to the most important resistence zone of this asset for this year, which is around 12500/12400, so if we are not going to close below this point, there is a very high chance that the market will rebound and go towards 13k.
Otherwise if we are going to break it, we can expect a downfall movement towards 12250 - 12000.



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