skoracle

THE BIG SHORT: ASIA OPEN UPDATE – BIG BTC ADJUSTMENTS

Short
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
ORIGINAL TRADE SETUP POSTED FRI, NOV 19, 2020
  • 61.8% to 78.6 fibo level zone extended from the 1st wave of correction of the all-time highs provides clear positive risk: reward play for a downside correction to follow with entries preferably near the extended 78.6 fibo level short BTC at around $18,035 with stops above all time highs and just below the next big figure at $20099 and final take profit targets just above the key $12,500 pivot providing a 4:1 risk reward play.

BIG BTC SHORT ADJUSTMENTS
ENTRY: BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLE AND 7 CONSECTIVE WEEK PATTERN
ADDITIONAL SHORTS ABOVE CURRENT MARKET RATES TO CURRENT AVERAGE OF ABOUT $18516 as of Nov 22

STOPS (LOSSES): ADJUSTING HIGHER PRE-THANKSGIVING
ADJUSTED HIGHER TO ABOVE 1.618 fibo level (downside wave starting at just below $13k to $4k) to $21,030 to avoid stop runs on potential volatility spikes over Thanksgiving holiday season.


LIMIT (PROFITS): CLOSING HALF AT $10,900 and REMAINDER @ $4K level
T/PS ADJUSTED TO $10,900 and $4,000 for half a position each providing potential gains of roughly 98% on t/p level 1 and 360% if the final take profit hits at the $4k area equating to an average return of 274% with a risk percentage of just -8% on unleveraged positions

UPDATE: DROWN OUT THE NOISE, FOCUS ON THE TAPE
- Bullish Retail Sentiment High = Higher Probability of Contrarian Counter Shorts
- BTC valuations at $100k within a year by many analysts at banks also made same prediction for BTC to be trading at that price point by this point in time
- Stronger USD likely on flight to safety as US death tolls hitting record daily rates and we approach key year end growth numbers globally
- Low liquidity into the upcoming Thanksgiving Holiday has typically seen vicious moves to the downside
- Max pain trade is definitively to the downside, not higher

Happy Holiday Weekend, and some may be thinking who this guy posting ridiculous r:r trade setups within this community...follow the links for a few hints:

www.fxtradermagazine.com/
www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/137431
www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/142217
www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/140167
www.dailymotion.com/video/xq8njx
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.