AUDCAD - CAD Strength On The Horizon?
Analysis:
Price has been in this downwards trend for a while now and we're expecting this to continue. Price has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows which confirms our thesis that price is trending to the downside. Recently we saw price break below a key level of support and we're now seeing that same level get retested for resistance and we suspect that it will hold, as support can quite often become resistance and this level has held as resistance in the past before. To add to our idea we've also got the 50% fib retracement level at our area which we expect bears will be sat at wanting to push price to the downside which works with our idea. We've also got a downwards trendline which again we expect sellers will be waiting at, holding and pushing price down further. When we look at the fundamentals the AUD and CAD are both very similar in strength and weakness so there isn't any real bias here however we do still favour the CAD over the AUD as more institutions are exiting out of their short positions on the CAD and are in fact going long instead where as for the AUD we're seeing an increase in both long and short positions by institutions. Another factor why we prefer the CAD over the AUD is the the CAD is heavily related the oil prices. With Canada being the 4th largest oil exporter in the work and with the possibility of oil prices being on the rise again we could see the CAD start to gain some more strength. The AUD did have some positive news that came out yesterday however we don't see this bullishness continuing, especially after the AUD news release later on tonight which we expect will be bearish for the AUD. With all of the confluences factors that we have we get a short bias on this pair at this level so this is a pair that we are interested in.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Price has been in this downwards trend for a while now and we're expecting this to continue. Price has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows which confirms our thesis that price is trending to the downside. Recently we saw price break below a key level of support and we're now seeing that same level get retested for resistance and we suspect that it will hold, as support can quite often become resistance and this level has held as resistance in the past before. To add to our idea we've also got the 50% fib retracement level at our area which we expect bears will be sat at wanting to push price to the downside which works with our idea. We've also got a downwards trendline which again we expect sellers will be waiting at, holding and pushing price down further. When we look at the fundamentals the AUD and CAD are both very similar in strength and weakness so there isn't any real bias here however we do still favour the CAD over the AUD as more institutions are exiting out of their short positions on the CAD and are in fact going long instead where as for the AUD we're seeing an increase in both long and short positions by institutions. Another factor why we prefer the CAD over the AUD is the the CAD is heavily related the oil prices. With Canada being the 4th largest oil exporter in the work and with the possibility of oil prices being on the rise again we could see the CAD start to gain some more strength. The AUD did have some positive news that came out yesterday however we don't see this bullishness continuing, especially after the AUD news release later on tonight which we expect will be bearish for the AUD. With all of the confluences factors that we have we get a short bias on this pair at this level so this is a pair that we are interested in.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.