thekevin

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Markets Allocation
97 % cryptocurrency 3 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BTCUSD 38% | 15 WANBTC 12% | 5 ICXUSD 10% | 4 ICXBTC 7% | 3
thekevin thekevin ICXBTC, 60,
ICXBTC: ICX/BTC
35 0 0
ICXBTC, 60
ICX/BTC

The 2 green arrows are short term targets and the following drawn lines are the scenarios that follow. I'm inclined to follow the bearish outcome if BTC stays on its current trajectory. This is probably just some sort of 'B' or 'X' wave exacerbated by the news of the ICX/USDT pairing on Binance. "Buy the rumor, get rekt by news" .. or something? Probably ...

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC Update
306 0 1
BTCUSD, 240 Short
BTC Update

I'm in full on bear mode, I'm afraid. I can easily count 5 waves down, into a somewhat ambiguous ABC up. I'm assuming another 5 legs down. If we assume a 1:1 ratio for the A+C waves and we assume around 1.0 - 1.618 using a fibonacci time tool - here's my targets! Shorter term we broke down through an ascending triangle (to start the subwave 1, wave C). On a macro ...

thekevin thekevin ZILBTC, 343, Short ,
ZILBTC: ZIL/BTC
18 0 0
ZILBTC, 343 Short
ZIL/BTC

Zil needs to cool off! If we assume at least a 1:1 extension of the A wave for the C wave, estimating 1.0 - 1.618 in terms of the fibonacci timeframe - here would be the entry point. This coincides with the .618 retrace of the 5 waves up. This assumes the coin is bullish and will move up for a wave 3.

thekevin thekevin ONTBTC, 240, Short ,
ONTBTC: ONT Update
21 0 0
ONTBTC, 240 Short
ONT Update

5 clear waves up (of a larger scale wave 1?). Bearish divergence on the 4hour and has just lost 21MA support. Wait for a retrace to re-enter.

thekevin thekevin BQXBTC, 240,
BQXBTC: BQX/BTC (Ethos)
18 0 0
BQXBTC, 240
BQX/BTC (Ethos)

Buy if it breaks the horizontal resistance then finds support above it. If it does break horizontal resistance then it will probably find that 200MA (white line) as short term resistance before re-testing the horizontal line as support. This would be the time to buy. Then put a tight stop loss a few percent under the aforementioned horizontal resistance line. If ...

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 240, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTC Bullish Outlook (Following up last post)
47 0 0
BTCUSD, 240 Long
BTC Bullish Outlook (Following up last post)

This could be the wave count if the ascending triangle breaks upwards. The 1.618 would be a reasonable target for a wave 3.

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTC Update
213 0 2
BTCUSD, 240
BTC Update

BTC is in a short term ascending triangle which is a bullish pattern. Of course if it breaks under the lower trend line then it becomes invalidated. Doesn't look 'bad' though. That's an improvement.. right?

thekevin thekevin EOSBTC, 343, Long ,
EOSBTC: EOS Short Term Targets
25 0 0
EOSBTC, 343 Long
EOS Short Term Targets

Follow the green arrows!

thekevin thekevin ONTBTC, 343,
ONTBTC: ONT Channel
22 0 0
ONTBTC, 343
ONT Channel

ONT is in a channel with a few outcomes. Wait for the breakout of the upper channel and the subsequent re-test of the upper channel as support before buying. It could break above then fall back below (bull trap).

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 60,
BTCUSD: BTC Short Term Update
191 2 1
BTCUSD, 60
BTC Short Term Update

BTC faced a fierce horizontal resistance point (creating an ascending triangle). A short term dump was required to bring back the buyers (who have now seen a higher low supported) which could bring in enough 'bull-power' to break through the resistance. If the lower trend line of this triangle becomes resistance, however - could be time to get out and let the ...

thekevin thekevin EOSBTC, 343, Long ,
EOSBTC: EOS Ascending Triangle?
47 0 0
EOSBTC, 343 Long
EOS Ascending Triangle?

I don't normally like to chart altcoins anymore as it all depends entirely on BTC - therefore I'd be just as well charting that. However, I do believe I have found a potential ascending triangle. Arguably it should hit that recent high one more time before this assumption but I'm going to preemptively anticipate one forming. If EOS breaks below the lower trend ...

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 343,
BTCUSD: BTC Update (Bear + Bull Forecasts)
123 0 1
BTCUSD, 343
BTC Update (Bear + Bull Forecasts)

The point of the vertical white line is the 1.618 price and time zone of the next wave. If this is another corrective wave we can expect that area to be the top. If this is an impulse (subwaves of a larger wave 1) then we will still have a pull back (subwave 4) before going past the potential 'C' point. I'm afraid that until this 7900 region is tested it's quite ...

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTC Update
106 0 1
BTCUSD, 240
BTC Update

BTC is still showing a bullish divergence and held the .786 well. The whole market feels bearish right now - this would be the best time for the bears' final push. I'm surprised they didn't hold it below the .786. Maybe they are weaker than expected?

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 1W,
BTCUSD: BTC Weekly
33 0 0
BTCUSD, 1W
BTC Weekly

BTC's weekly close is going to be an important one here. Almost looks like 'make or break'! Call it a 50-50? Place your bets! The green line is the 50 moving average.

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: BTC Longer Term Downtrend Line
250 6 2
BTCUSD, 1D
BTC Longer Term Downtrend Line

A while ago I mentioned that we may have a wave 1 that could break out of the long term (log) downtrend line and then re-test it as support. Could it still be playing out? The line is now roughly coinciding with major Fibonacci support.

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTC Update
111 0 2
BTCUSD, 240
BTC Update

A bullish divergence has formed between the W and Y waves. We also look to be finding support on the .618 (golden ratio). If the .618 breaks with momentum we could still fall to the .786. Let's hope the .618 holds!

thekevin thekevin BTCUSD, 343, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC Downtrend Continuation (Just to be aware of!)
458 5 3
BTCUSD, 343 Short
BTC Downtrend Continuation (Just to be aware of!)

With this wave count I show how my original count (to $7700) could still play out. This would be through a continuation of an ABC that would fulfill a WXY, test the 0.618 (of the macro level move) AND re-test the current downtrend line as support (line shown in red from my earlier analysis). The sub waves are fictitious - just to be used as examples! I do not do ...

thekevin thekevin TRXUSD, 343, Long ,
TRXUSD: TRX/USD
41 0 0
TRXUSD, 343 Long
TRX/USD

TRX may not break straight out into a wave 3, it could take longer depending on the market, my lines do not show in anyway how this will occur as I have not went into a smaller time frame to count subwaves - it's just an example! If a breakout does occur then your targets are the 1.618, 2.618 or 4.272 regions. As stated, be careful when buying the breakout for ...

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