Johnny_TV

Johnny_TV

We look into three possible future timelines in regards to the PRC. The war on Taiwan will lead to a disruption in Western dominance as the US will turn to a stagnating "fallen empire" after GOP sets another mark on American politics 2024.

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The New Year might conclude the calm Christmas Rally with a correction. We currently see an ongoing Bull Flag formation for as long as the blue zone isn't left. Thickness of arrows marks their likelihood. In general, the heated rally - which completely opposes last year's development - will call for an ongoing cooldown pretty soon. Markets might overheat on the...

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USA's Best 500 are about to establish a bullish channel after a bullish teacup, but still has some chances to break out of it.

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Netflix loosing momentum and is likely to rebound to fibonacci levels before breaking the ATH. A rebound on the quickest Moving Average 38D will most likely trigger a breakthrough, while a rebound on the second quickest Moving Average 100D will recouchér back down up until recent down levels - Netflix would enter a sideway zone. A rebound is prone to happen due a...

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Passing the moving averages in the near future, McDonalds will remain in a stable uptrend channel.

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An unlikely winner in the current recession, Netflix could continue a trend down unless it breaks out the trend channel within the remainder of October. Despite promising results earlier this week, Netflix bounced on the channel's upper edge. Now this could be only a resolution of a few targetted positions by a few traders aware of the channel, but if the trend...

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The handle of a giant cup would make SPX return to earlier heights once price action would break through a streak of economy blues. Short-term patterns confirm this strong probability. If a draw-down away from the breakthrough line turns out smaller than the past one by returning to the line, another signal is generated. On the day of this writing, all SPDR...

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NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:AMD As the common market motion is embracing a recession, one of Bloomberg's Magnificent 7 fights hard to keep a stiff upper lip. But not only as the signs of the times currently stand, but also by their own decisions, NVIDIA will get in turmoil. Background In my view (working in IT...

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For the past weeks, the earlier scenario of a crashing SPX did not play out as twitter expected, as I pointed out in one of my earlier analyses (see linked idea). Instead it upheld on the upside as I expected, which it would have continued if the sky would not darken again. But the overbearing event, which was missing on the index earlier and eventually failed the...

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Germany's Most Wanted follow up on Bull's Island I published a while ago after a period of back and forth in a side channel. Only today the DAX broke out an important side-range sub channel in the recessive zone. Not only will Fed's decisions and strong employment market data from the U.S. impact Germany's industry. A common recession in China, followed by...

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50D chart on German textiles maker Adidas provides an opportunity for a long chane. The distance to the ATH is approximately 86%.

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XETR:DAX - Germany's Most Wanted surtopping its ATH over 16'400 became unlikely as EU enters recession, now that China is on the brim of a recession and Beijing issues stimulus, and the U.S. is expected to turn to a landing, whether hard or soft. This chart shows a best case scenario for the DAX in a cooling world economy: a correction to the Moving Average 200.

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A very rare bearish signal on Germany's top market index? The hammer which a retraction-barrier zone around gaps is shaping together with a high-volume pile suggests exactly that. DAX closes this week just under the forementioned R.B.Z. and doesn't muster the strength to close over monday's opening. Overbearing timeframes show that Germany's Most Wanted tried to...

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Apple Inc. NASDAQ:AAPL provides a rare example nowadays why we call negative price action short, and positive price action long: on the brim of the stock's all-time high, the bar sparks the strong analytical impulse to bet for a rebound to MA200. This would only confirm a long-upholding trend. Events triggering this rebound could be: - U.S. defaults on debt...

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In the upcoming recession, an analysis of US100 or SPX might seem more profitable but those who focus on single values in a volatile market, AMAZON opens a short opportunity ahead of the recession.

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The trend of last May's highs indicate that this year's May downturn might be dramatic. The May highs in the ongoing downtrend would decline for three years in a row if the white trend line is maintained. The very close August heights set a second resistance to break even if the white trend line is broken. Macro-economics and moving averages indicate a downturn...

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Many people have seen this pattern or image on Twitter and social media, compared with past crashes of SPX in 1970 and 2008. The post goes around for a couple of weeks now, only that last week something happened which is different to before: the marked closed in a bullish candle. Apparently everyone and their mom is betting on a crash with a short, which...

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After the war in East Europe dreaded the market in 2022 and the Federal Reserve had to raise the rate to combat inflation following a peak in energy costs, three mid-sized banks fell to their knees. Combatting inflation, in simple terms, always means withdrawing liquidity from the market, more so that raised base rates make bonds more appealing. And because the...