hi there, dear fellow. we've recently stumbled upon this chart, in the quest for a leading gauge for the dxy. this chart depicts a paradox. in white, US10Y-USIRYY; in orange, US10Y-US02Y. if you remember our previous idea, namely on the DXY and the yield curve spread (US10Y-US02Y), we've pointed out back then that a steepening of the yield curve would be bearish...
we've plotted US10Y-US02Y against DXY. we've noticed a near perfect fitting between them. as yield curve continues to invert, it drives higher DXY and that is bearish for risk assets, and vice versa. best regards.
How can we participate in the rise and fall of interest rate? Firstly, we need to understand the difference between interest rate and yield. Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers whereas yield is for investors or lenders. • Interest rates are the fees charged, as a percentage from a lender for a loan. • Yield is the percentage of earnings a person...
Brief look at the macro economic climate, specifically at the US 10-year treasury yields, the US spending power, US large caps & crypto
In this update we review the recent price action in the US10Y Yeild and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
I will say it again. Caution in all asset classes remains. How much risk are you taking on for how much reward you are expecting to acquire? Keep asking yourself that question. Better to be out of the market wishing you were in rather than being in the market wishing you were out. is it startinng to make sense now whey i have been saying these things for months now?
Has the S&P reversed? In this video I look at two potential Elliott wave counts, and why the 10 year Bonds could indicate the end of the selloff.
In this update we review the recent price action in the US10yr Yield and identify the next high probability trading patterns and price objectives to target.
In this update we review the recent price action in the US10yr and identify the next high probability trade location and price objective to target.
The 2-10 Year yield curve spread has been steadily converging over the last year and has precipitated it's collapse the last 30-60 days with the 7 year inversion to the 10 year just happening last week. Flattening and inverting of the yield curve is a leading indicator of the onset of a recession or at minimum, economic contraction. Peace, CB
In this video we discuss the current macro economic problems facing the Bond market and anticipate that regardless of what happens we will see dislocations (volatility) in a number of different markets. The problems with Japan stems from their monetary policy to implement Yield Curve Control (YCC) where they are committed to keeping their interest rates between...
In this video I am going to show you why I think that we will have a major decreas e in bonds price this year. This is due to the fact that we are currently trading in a wedge shape , or a so-called Elliot Wave Diagonal which is characterized by a 5-Waves-Pattern , of which every inner wave is shorter than the first impulsive wave. Fundamentally spoken, I do...
Simple idea Weekly timeframe Trends are clearly dollar up and yields down Let's see how this plays out DXY target 100+ Yields target circa 1 Timeframe Q1/Q2 TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK Annotations- - squiggles showing likely bottom on dollar and top on yields - bitcoin squiggle to remind us bitcoin follows yields - box to show when they did move together...
In this video we talk through an action-reaction chart of the 10 year yield Yields are inverse to bond prices and are a marker of bond traders' sentiment to inflation The inflation narrative is ubiquitous right now I believe this is a sell the narrative scenario NOT TRADING ADVICE Charts: action-reaction method; pitchforks off major pivots
Looking at the higher time frame analysis on Bonds, Bonds finding support and confirmed on the lower time frame. Price bounced off the Daily Breaker & Orderblock and had a nice Asia OTE setup. The high impact news in NY open might give an OTE to drive price higher.
Our risk model has changed from neutral to a 'sell signal'. Key technical and psychological market indicators are being discussed: Distribution Day Count SP500 (5), NASDQ (2) Up / Down Volume positive New 52w Highs / Lows ratio < 1 Stocks above 200d MA negative Advance / Decline Line declining Volatility Index VIX close to 30 Long Term...
You will hear many people in finance and in trading tell you that the bond market is the most important market to understand because it influences every other market in the world… particularly the US Bond market. In this video I am going to try and explain what the Bond market is for anyone new to trading or still learning about the bond market and then I will...
We give a quick recap of markets overnight and the previous day and insights into the day ahead with a few trade ideas on the day. Ideas are strictly NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.