The yield curve has inverted to the most extreme degree ever, which is a warning that a recession is coming. In this video, I analyze the charts for the AMEX:SPY S&P 500, NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia, NASDAQ:AAPL Apple, and the yield curve on U.S. Treasurys to see what they're telling us about future price action. In the video, I mention that the bull rally following...
dear fellows. we believe gold prices are likely to keep falling, because unlike many analysts say, it is not a hedge against inflation, rather against real yields. real yields have been rising, and thus, gold prices should fall. in this video idea, we show how much divergence currently exists between these charts, and why in the next couple of weeks one can...
Dear fellows. In this short video we present our case that EURUSD tracks US10Y since 2020 on an inverse relationship. We also expect the yield curve to keep steepening, and by assuming Fed funds rate "higher for longer", US10Y is expected to rise further. Higher US10Y, thus, implies in lower EURUSD and SPX, as well as other major market indexes. The particular...
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has led to a significant rise in US Treasury yields, reaching levels not seen in several years. This has, in turn, bolstered the US Dollar while putting pressure on US stock markets. Later this week, investors will closely monitor the release of US core PCE data, seeking additional insights into the country's inflation...
How can you tell whether a price is in an uptrend? -- In this video we tackle this question -- To learn more watch it now --- Disclaimer: Do not buy or sell anything as this not financial advice please do your own reasearch before you trade -- Cheers, Lubosi Bonds
Have to be extremely careful of alt bags if BTC and Eth are as bearish as they are BTC is the sun to the space and when it falls hard the rest will follow harder. This means that we can lose 20% - 50% - 80% value in alts fast esp the low cap high risk alts. These alerts can quickly change and new data needs to be reacted upon so have to stay up to...
Minimum counter cycle of 10 yrs or more with a target price described in the video. Please watch video for exact points. Thank you.
Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient....
Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient....
We have a big week of data US inflation figures are released tomorrow and are likely to show a continued disinflationary trend, with the headline rate falling to 4.1%. This will help the Fed remain on pause for the Wednesday rate decision. The major level to watch to our mind is the tentative downtrend drawn from the October 2022 high. This comes in at 3.88....
US GDP Q1 GDP figures were released yesterday and showed a significantly slower rate of growth that expected, printing an overall figure of 1.1% Q1 growth. The problem facing investors is that economic data suggests that inflation could remain sticky and the central bank is widely expected to raise benchmark rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting next...
The World’s Biggest Asset Manager With $9 Trillion AUM, BlackRock are saying that the markets Are WRONG By Pricing In Interest Rate Cuts. There is a divergence between what the Fed is saying that they are going to do and what the markets are pricing in terms of interest rate bets. The Fed is saying “We aren’t going to cut rates”, but the market is focusing on the...
It's pretty much all about Fibonacci today - the market has recent peaked at around 4.24 and is in the process of eroding a key convergence of support at 3.25/3.32 (lows since January, the 55-week ma and the 2018 high). These are looking vulnerable and failure will imply a deeper corrective move lower towards 3.00 and potentially 2.80ish - the 38.2% retracement of...
In this video I cover the divergence between the 2 and 10 year treasuries and the recent FOMC press conference language. Jerome Powell is promising one thing (continued rate increases), while the bond market seems to be claiming otherwise (Fed pause incoming). Who's right? Let's take a closer look.
We have a convergence of levels around the 4.19/4.20 zone of the chart, it is a long term double Fibonacci retracement and represents significant lows seen in 1998 and 2001. Will be quite interested to see if the market pauses here in order to consolidate sharp gains that have been pretty relentless since August. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading...
This video is a recap of the trading session over the equities hours in NY. Made 2R for the day. Keeping an eye on USD and yields and looking for renewed strength for explosive trade setups later in the week.
AUD/USD broke a weekly level and the focus stays on the downside for the week ahead.
In this update we review the recent price action in the US10Yr Yield and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target