U.S. stock index futures declined on Thursday amid rising Treasury yields, as investors awaited jobless claims data that may clarify the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy for the coming year. During a week short on significant catalysts, market momentum has somewhat faltered. Investors are seeking new insights into the monetary policy direction, especially...
The main view here is that the VIX is trading sub $13, likely sub $12 by CPI. So, based on structure, I don't really see a (probable) way that we complete the larger up-move to 5380+ without more accumulation. I think we will go through extremely painful high and tight consolidation and maybe make a breakout attempt in early fall. This idea will be invalidated by...
SPX500 As we looked at, this wedge shaped fractal looked very weak as soon as it started to grind upward from the second bounce. Now it has slumped down below the lower wedge trendline and that is quite a bearish look down there. From here there will be a lot of resistance above and its now unlikely that it can reach the upper trendline again without first...
Markets tried to stay on a positive side after the FOMC meeting, however, the April`s job report was the one that saved the market optimism during the previous week. Although the Fed noted that the first rate cut will occur when data clearly show that the inflation is on a clear road toward the 2.0% target, a much softer than expected jobs report was the one that...
Good evening to all, after a wave A is followed by B which is developing, and can reach the reverse of A measured as AND 88.6% fibonatsi, that is 5200 to 5230 then we have a wave C which can reach from 4913 to 4765 and maybe even lower.
A correction is coming soon. Maybe started this week. How low will it go? Nobody knows. So many Bearish Posts. Permabears predicting cataclysm. The End is Near! Doomsayers who repeatedly forecast massive crashes will eventually be right, once every 15-20 years. Almost always these guys are just plain wrong. Markets exist to print money. Money prints when...
The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...
Last Friday, the SPX gapped up at the open and temporarily broke above the 50-day SMA during the trading session. Finally, yesterday, the SPX managed to close above this line of resistance, which is a positive development. However, a failure of the price to defend the ground above this level, now acting as support, for multiple consecutive days will be concerning....
While we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention. Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over...
SPX500 Wave 4 ( Red Circled) is an expanding flat wave pattern, where wave (B)( blue) could reach 5530 +/- before losing 15.98% +/-
S&P 500 INDEX OANDA:SPX500USD New Forecast The price has breached the resistance zone and continues its upward trajectory, aiming to reach 5249. We anticipate a minor correction to 5225 before the price ascends further towards 5249, and potentially beyond to 5280. Conversely, a consolidation below the levels of 5224 and 5218 could indicate a downward movement...
Dear colleagues, I assume that the upward movement in the senior wave “3” will continue, but after a small correction, presumably to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5117.0 . Then I assume the continuation of the upward movement to the resistance area 5282.3. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPx New Forecast the price reached our target as we mentioned in the previous idea. Now, it still has a bullish trend to reach 5224 from the pivot line which is 5177, so otherwise, it should break 5177 by closing 4h candle under it to get 5150 and 5120 Pivot Line: 5177 Resistance Levels: 5202, 5224, 5249 Support Levels: 5153, 5120, 5103 Today’s expected...
Spx New Forecast the price reached our target as we mentioned in the previous idea. Now, it still has a bullish trend to reach 5224 from the pivot line which is 5177, so otherwise, it should break 5177 by closing 4h candle under it to get 5150 and 5120 Pivot Line: 5177 Resistance Levels: 5202, 5224, 5249 Support Levels: 5153, 5120, 5103 Today’s expected...
Price is at the trend deciding zone 5200 - 5220. We had continuous uptrend for few days. Will price take a pause, have a pull back before moving up? Buy above 5230 with the stop loss of 5210 for the targets 5260, 5300, 5340 and 5380. Sell below 5180 with the stop loss of 5210 for the targets 5150, 5110, 5060 and 5020. Support is seen at 4980 - 5020. Check the...
The SPX500USD is currently in a favorable buying zone at 5048. Traders are eyeing potential profits at multiple levels: 5077.2, 5102.1, and 5118.8. These take-profit targets indicate strategic points where traders anticipate the price to reach, capitalizing on potential market movements. Additionally, a stop-loss order is set at 5019.1, serving as a precautionary...
This is a short-term outlook on the S&P500 (SPX) following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The short-term pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and is giving us some important developments. Even though yesterday's attempt to stay above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) failed, the index managed to stay on the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and is...
Shorting oppportunity on the theory markets ranges 70% of the time.