Ok we are nearing the top floor of this trip Our trip down will be a little more "hurried" than our trip up Buckle Up! P.S. if you don't like to ride the elevator down then there is another one about to head up over on TLT :)
Not even gonna guess how high will it fly. Got higher than we expected already. Smoked bears, gone into hibernation. Here are the fib levels for your consideration. Notice price approaches the top Bolly Band. Not a lot of room left to squeeze but it could pump higher. Not overbought yet. Short when it gets there. Bewary.
Good evening to all, after a wave A is followed by B which is developing, and can reach the reverse of A measured as AND 88.6% fibonatsi, that is 5200 to 5230 then we have a wave C which can reach from 4913 to 4765 and maybe even lower.
The main view here is that the VIX is trading sub $13, likely sub $12 by CPI. So, based on structure, I don't really see a (probable) way that we complete the larger up-move to 5380+ without more accumulation. I think we will go through extremely painful high and tight consolidation and maybe make a breakout attempt in early fall. This idea will be invalidated by...
Markets tried to stay on a positive side after the FOMC meeting, however, the April`s job report was the one that saved the market optimism during the previous week. Although the Fed noted that the first rate cut will occur when data clearly show that the inflation is on a clear road toward the 2.0% target, a much softer than expected jobs report was the one that...
Hello everyone, as title says, today I would like to speak about the S&P500 and its market valuation in the current economic environment. Since I prefer to study and analyze markets on higher time frames rather than day-to-day, this Case Study is based on quarter outlook (3M chart), to capture most of the available information using metrics that have...
A correction is coming soon. Maybe started this week. How low will it go? Nobody knows. So many Bearish Posts. Permabears predicting cataclysm. The End is Near! Doomsayers who repeatedly forecast massive crashes will eventually be right, once every 15-20 years. Almost always these guys are just plain wrong. Markets exist to print money. Money prints when...
Last Friday, the SPX gapped up at the open and temporarily broke above the 50-day SMA during the trading session. Finally, yesterday, the SPX managed to close above this line of resistance, which is a positive development. However, a failure of the price to defend the ground above this level, now acting as support, for multiple consecutive days will be concerning....
The SPX500USD is currently in a favorable buying zone at 5048. Traders are eyeing potential profits at multiple levels: 5077.2, 5102.1, and 5118.8. These take-profit targets indicate strategic points where traders anticipate the price to reach, capitalizing on potential market movements. Additionally, a stop-loss order is set at 5019.1, serving as a precautionary...
While we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention. Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over...
SPX500 Wave 4 ( Red Circled) is an expanding flat wave pattern, where wave (B)( blue) could reach 5530 +/- before losing 15.98% +/-
SPx New Forecast the price reached our target as we mentioned in the previous idea. Now, it still has a bullish trend to reach 5224 from the pivot line which is 5177, so otherwise, it should break 5177 by closing 4h candle under it to get 5150 and 5120 Pivot Line: 5177 Resistance Levels: 5202, 5224, 5249 Support Levels: 5153, 5120, 5103 Today’s expected...
Dear colleagues, I assume that the upward movement in the senior wave “3” will continue, but after a small correction, presumably to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5117.0 . Then I assume the continuation of the upward movement to the resistance area 5282.3. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Spx New Forecast the price reached our target as we mentioned in the previous idea. Now, it still has a bullish trend to reach 5224 from the pivot line which is 5177, so otherwise, it should break 5177 by closing 4h candle under it to get 5150 and 5120 Pivot Line: 5177 Resistance Levels: 5202, 5224, 5249 Support Levels: 5153, 5120, 5103 Today’s expected...
This is a short-term outlook on the S&P500 (SPX) following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The short-term pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and is giving us some important developments. Even though yesterday's attempt to stay above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) failed, the index managed to stay on the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and is...
We recently saw the AMEX:SPY index falling very fast and aggressively to the correction territory. The level found support around the 4950s. After all the events like Earnings, one day down, the other day up, and both very aggressive, plus the Fed meeting, also with a wild rollercoaster. At the end of the day the index found support above the 4950. Which is good...
Shorting oppportunity on the theory markets ranges 70% of the time.
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The index reached our projected Mean Sup 5013 and swiftly jumped higher by suppressing our played-out interim Dead-Cat Rebound Mean Res 5110. Now, the index is moving to complete our Inner Index Rally 5175. This upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5013.