Although during the meat and potatoes of last week has been very choppy, with many gaps appearing in price action on the daily timeframe, ES has managed to reprice through the prior weeks buystops into a sellside imbalance buyside inefficiency located between 5123.25 - 5248.75. I do not believe the buying pressure is over yet as just above the SIBI is a bearish...
going over the morning sessions price action looking for clues as to how we could have traded better and which clues the markets are leaving us.
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 5154.75, up 63.25 on Friday and 23.25 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 18,000.75, up 351.00 on Friday and 155.00 on the week E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures are pointing higher on the heels of a strong finish to last week, supported by a strong earnings report from Apple and...
Going over the sunday night to Over night price action ES looking for clues as to what the market is telling us. will go over 4hr charts sometime today.
Liquidity has been taken with a double top imo My confluences with the macd have triggered.. I’m short to the target price for the next 15-20hrs What are your thoughts? Trade safely my friends
Not going to go into this too deeply but as you can see, we made a higher high on Friday and are currently hitting resistance at the upper extremity of the zig zag channel. Price has also been consolidating in a riding wedge pattern, which could mean we could soon see a move to the downside. It also appears that the inverse is happening with TVC:DXY where the...
Bull case on left, bear case on right. On the left, I think there are different ways to complete the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50, but for simplicity, I have just used a leading diagonal A, zigzag B, impulse wave C. From the low of 4963.50, it would appear that there are 4 distinct and overlapping impulse waves (with higher lows at 4991.25, 5022.25, and 5036.25),...
After watching the action at Non Farm Payroll. I noticed 3 key PD Arrays that could allow ES to move back into ATHs. Should move fast 1) Mitigation block 1H TF Apr 22 2) Breaker block at the spike of FOMC an May 1 3) 1h FVG created from NFP news release on May 3 The only thing that would confirm my thesis would be a gap up on Sunday open
The overall momentum of the market from the monthly timeframe is bullish. now we're having a minor retracement for a day trading long opportunity. also looking to catch a short trade opportunity when price get's to the right zone in order to realign with the monthly timeframe flip zone for a longer term long opportunity.
The number of short contracts (6055K) are more than the longs (3635K), however this doesn't cause an equivalent price drop. This is called absorption. The "composite man" is collecting the contracts, but not introducing them back to the market in order to sell higher. Meaningful volume spikes with no meaningful effects are signs of manipulation.
Going over the price action for the NFP report. looking for clues as to what the market is telling us. always remember we are risk managers. do your homework and go over all your trades this weekend. weekend is a time to refine your strategy and your mind.
For ES1! bears, I'm looking at a double-three correction from low of 4963.50, with an expanded flat Y, to complete below 5194.25. For the flat, 3 is shorter than 1, so 5 needs to finish below 5194.25. As such, this count is invalid with price above 5194.25. Price is currently between .5 and .618 Fibonacci price points on the correction, so bears are definitely...
Price heading towards 0.618 Fib before it start drop.to 4998 level
I was looking at /ES on the weekly because things were looking interesting on the lower time frame charts I spend more time on. Low and behold and this chart is looking like it could be setting up for much higher prices. The recent down move gave us some rebalancing off of the crazy run we have had since late last year and the last two weeks seem to be showing...
Trading Plan for Friday, May 3rd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bulls maintaining a tentative lead ahead of multiple high-impact market events (Apple Earnings and Jobs Report). Expect extreme volatility and plan accordingly. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5068 (major), 5054 (major trendline - note this level rises daily) Major Supports: 5028 (major), 5001...
Watching UVIX break through its low of $8.37 this morning gives me confidence that market top is not in. The most bullish scenario now would see four separate impulse waves (in blue ellipses) since low of 4963.50. Pivots at 5022.25 and 5036.25 were both technical, bouncing off .618 fib levels. Bulls need to advance above 5200 with continued impulsive action, and...
ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5082 Upper lvls: 5099-5109 / 5125-5127 / 5137 / 5153 Lower lvls: 5072-5074 / 5036 / 5005 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 17632 Upper lvls: 17776 / 17818-17838 / 17871 / 17901-17937 / 18063 Lower lvls: 17564-17573 / 17482 / 17356-17370 Stay Frosty!
We are reviewing price action from yesterday and this morning. going over the clues the market left and how we could have traded the day better.