- 3 Failed tests on 4h timeframe - Price breakdown (hourly bear flag) - Price targets: 5226.75, 5153.75, trailing stop - Stop Loss: 5350 (break into ATHs)
- Strong rejection of a key level - Bearish structure formed at top of range - Possible exhausted bull run?
Can the sellers that appeared in Friday session in the S&P 500 follow through to the downside on Monday or was the selling buyer selling to take profits before the weekend. Monday's price action will give us answers to these questions.
Going over the morning session ES looking for clues and how we could have traded better today.
The S&P500 index is preparing for its last wave up to fresh new highs. Crypto will also outperform all assets. After the blow-off top phase the "real" recession will begin.
Candle stick patterns. Mostly reversal with the exception of a Marabozu
Trading Plan for Friday, May 10th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but with a cautious undertone after a significant multi-day rally. Expect potential profit-taking and a reduction in aggressive buying activity. A period of consolidation is highly likely. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5235-37, 5228, 5209 (major), 5203 (major) Major Supports: 5177-79...
Last week ES reversed the downtrend and immediately looks bullish. I'm confident buying lows with defined stops. Watch for these 2 potential ideas in the week ahead. Thanks
Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the...
Going over the price action Overnight ES looking for clues as to how to trade the morning session. We are lowering risk Day 6 uptrend
The structure on Thursday in the S&P 500 daily chart implies the possibility of a strong close on Friday as we go into the weekend. Ideally would be a close above 5260 to 5265
Going over todays price action. looking for clues to what the market was telling us and reflecting on our trades and what we could have done better.
ES has just opened and I believe we could continue up to truly close the 2HR FVG at 5257. So far we are making continuous bullish candlestick patterns. If we can maintain support at 5234, we can test the upside before retracing back down to 5220.
I think we will go back down and test the 4960 area. We have broken the short term Up angle today in one swoop. RED UMVD has appeared after divergence as well. FED Day today - get ready for some serious moves.
ES has broken above a bearish ascending wedge pattern on the 4hr. It failed to sustain above yesterday, but has recovered today so far. If it manages to keep going, I'll be looking to long on any pullbacks that tap the top end of the wedge.
Bullish count on left, bearish count on right. Lots of gymnastics on the left, but it is still just a series of impulse waves up, with key higher low pivots held. There are different ways to interpret these impulse waves collectively, and the one I have chosen would get one complete impulse wave off low of 4963.50 to happen the quickest. Key price support at...