Overbought on RSI and MFI, I would expect at least a dip tomorrow
**SP500:** The price is expected to fall to the zone between 4874 e 4824.
S&P 500 (ES), it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 5114.00. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. The S/R zone from...
Trading Plan for Monday, May 6th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls seeking further confirmation after exceeding a major resistance level on Friday. Consolidation and complex, level-to-level price action are likely. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5145-50 (major), 5136, 5116-13 (major) Major Supports: 5082-77 (major), 5067 (major), 5060...
“The only bad time to buy real estate is later” cites investment wisdom. But, when interest rates soar high, real estate investments can and do hurt. Last week FOMC reiterated its resolve to fight inflation down to its target 2%. Inflation has been stubborn and sticky. It has shown signs of trend reversal towards resurgence. Chair Powell’s made clear that rate...
Here are my levels for the week. Same notes as NQ. I have been really busy outside trading so I have not been able to post many updates. I continue to trade these levels a few hours every morning. Treat the levels as as support, resistance or targets. The market is currently trading in a large consolidation pattern with large daily ranges. The levels noted are the...
CME_MINI:ES1! Broke out a 1 month flag on May 6th (in white). This pushed us to all time highs and now the spot buyers want to get over for next week is the 3 month megaphone resistance at 5349 area (in green). Get above there and buyers can push for 5374. If sellers want to dip us this upcoming week, it can start on the fail of 5302. which will target 5274...
Putting on my bear hat this morning and reflecting on how difficult the move up from October 2022 low has been to interpret, from an Elliott Wave perspective. If you were trying to convince yourself of a major market top and completed five-wave impulse, I think this is how you'd have to do it. Wave ((5)) ends of being an expanding ending diagonal off October 2022...
Another choppy and flat day for the challenge account. I think i did ok today but that lotto i bought should have been a call. Don't know what i was thinking buying a put after VX just broke below support. Oh well i should have been done trading at that point anyway. Next week will be better.
ES1! showing signs of heavy resistance to price movement, AKA liquidity in this rarified air. The daily ranges for the previous two trading days will be monumental in the market deciding its direction, as there is a lot of interest packing in at these levels. 5287 to 5349 are the outer limits with 5318-to-5323 also being important inflection points as this plays...
Going over the morning session looking for clues to how we could have traded today better. going into the weekend we really want to reflect & update our trading plan. eliminate what isnt working and double down on what is working. keep working hard. another week almost in the books. goal is to be green end of the day. not become a millionaire.
- 3 Failed tests on 4h timeframe - Price breakdown (hourly bear flag) - Price targets: 5226.75, 5153.75, trailing stop - Stop Loss: 5350 (break into ATHs)
- Strong rejection of a key level - Bearish structure formed at top of range - Possible exhausted bull run?
ES failed to break above high of day earlier. OPEX typically leads to chop, but I'll be watching to see if we can get any momentum tonthe downside.
Trading Plan for Friday, May 17th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, as the market shows signs of fatigue after 10 consecutive green days. Traders are anticipating a pullback and adjusting strategies accordingly. Important Note: It's OPEX Friday, which often leads to choppy price action and pinning (price moving a lot but ending near the starting point)....
CBOE:SPX if it can base above 5300 today we should see 5332 by early next week. Calls can work above 5300 for today ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5327 Upper lvls: 5368 / 5377 / 5387 Lower lvls: 5312-5316 / 5304-5308 / 5292-5296 / 5268-5274 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 18673 Upper lvls: 18812-18817 / 18974-18982 Lower lvls: 18576-18602 / 18483-18509 / 18416-18431 /...
ES tested the 5333 level several times overnight and couldn't break. It's trying again now whil VX is at the bottom of its range. I'd expect ES to fail here, but it moves above and VX makes a new low I'll have to reconsider my short bias.
I am really into the bond / stock relationship. Higher interest rates leads to an alternative to stocks, especially when stocks at all-time highs. The huge stock rally on Wednesday was helped by a big bond rally. Now the bonds have given up the entire rally. This could lead to bearish index futures patterns more likely to work.