After the release of the CPI data on Wednesday buying momentum is picking up in the S&P 500. The expectation is follow through to the upside but not a large move on Thursday.
CRazy... way overbought and looks like a melt up. Got stopped out of my puts for even money, but I made plenty on the CPI pump so I'm done for the week. Not gonna short anything on Ponzi Friday. I'm not into chasing an overbought market, see ya guys Monday.
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And now we're overbought on RSI and MFI. Dumped everything before I wrote this post. Made $4k on this stupid pump by going long yesterday, might take some of that and play for the dip tomorrow, but did well for a quick one day trade so might call it a week and go back to working on projects at home.
Buyers returned in the S&P 500 waiting for the next challenge which is the release of the CPI numbers on Wednesday. The bias is for the market to continue higher but how it interprets and absorbs the CPI numbers is 50-50.
MFI went oversold and all we got was a gap fill, not even a dip. I guess they want to pump inflation numbers Wed morning, might day trade on the long side tomorrow.
Last Week : Last week market opened above 5159.25 - 54.25 Key Resistance and gave a pull back/hold of that area showing us that it was holding as Support now. We knew that from there we could either Fail at or around VAH and pull back under that Key area or we could get through VAH and if we hold above that can bring in more buyers to give us pushes towards the...
Can the sellers that appeared in Friday session in the S&P 500 follow through to the downside on Monday or was the selling buyer selling to take profits before the weekend. Monday's price action will give us answers to these questions.
Does the selling action on Thursdays S&P 500 indicate that new sellers are entering the market or are buyers selling to take profits? Friday's price action will give us additional clues about who's in control as we go into the weekend.
The structure on Thursday in the S&P 500 daily chart implies the possibility of a strong close on Friday as we go into the weekend. Ideally would be a close above 5260 to 5265
Waiting for the CPI and PPI this week to drive the direction for the S&P 500. Although sellers came in on Friday and Monday, currently this market has a neutral opening with a bias to the upside.
Today's trade plan will be very simple. I'm looking for a break and retest of 5300 for longs and shorts if it fails to sustain and break above 5300.
ES moved up slowly last week on unusually low volume. It had been forming an ascending wedge, which would normally be bearish, but this time it broke out above. I'm skeptical of this move due to the volume, but as long as it can maintain above this wedge and/or 5200, I think a rally back into supply at 5300 is likely. We'll have to wait and see if that ends up...
Long idea for ES, wait to see what price does at that internal range liquidity
Trading Plan for Thursday, May 16th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but highly extended and statistically due for a significant pullback after 10 consecutive green days. Proceed with extreme caution and prioritize protecting gains. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5308-10 (major) Major Supports: 5272 (major), 5253-56 (major), 5200-02 (major), 5145-50...
Going over Morning Price ACtion ES pre CPI. looking for clues as to how to trade the day. Not much to do till we get the CPI.
Another green day for the challenge account, ended up with about $94 total P&L for the session. Most of it was made on a QQQ long and took a small loss on PYPL. I got over these trades and talk about my expectations for CPI tomorrow.