/ES VIX intraday_Dynamic Higher Timeframe Fibonacci Pivot Points_Regression Channel
Looks like ELliott wave flat from 2007. C wave seems to be forming since 2017-18. Expect more volatility going foward!
During '22 and each of the last 3 times the $VX 5/10 week SMA has done a 'Golden Cross' (5 week passing above 10 week) we have seen 5-10% drawdowns in S&P500 E-Minis Will history repeat itself?
I noticed last week that the VIX is just chillin on a trendline that goes back 5 or so years. It also closed a doji on the weekly on top of said line. This happens all while we are at major resistance on almost anything tradable. Bears about to show the claw? 🐻 Comment below!
Every time RSI has reached the 30 level it has bounced aggressively. With the recent fall of #kingdollar, stocks & crypto spike, & $VIX crush, I expect a REVERSAL PATTERN with a SURGE IN VOLATILITY. If margin calls get triggered we could see a MASSIVE WATERFALL SELLOFF in RISK "assets". Protect your #kingdollar. HEDGED with for CRISIS with $UVIX $UVXY. GL.
VIX S&P - DXY - S&P When volatility surges, S&P dumps and DXY rises.
SP:SPX Possible Scenario: Long Evidence: Price Action, Money Flow I'm bullish for now; end of the story.
well probably head back toward bottom of envelopel. slow bleed until we have a reason to bet on another wave. if signal stays green we could have another leg up.
This chart is self explanatory. Keeping it simple, this dog and pony show ain't over yet.
i think the hourly spike in vix is over, but the 4hr might be in for some additional waves, followed by a daily bear in vix with a weekly bull trend still on. the road to 20 seems locked in, but were not averse to 30 in the mean time.
i think the vix will have to sink before it gets the rebound that it seems destined for. ive marked out a couple scenarios. if we climb above pivot i would look for upper horizontals and one of the green scenarios yo play out. if we remain beneath it id look for one of the red scenarios and lower horizontals.
it's that time of the month. No, it's not Hygiene. July CT spread is ZERO, the CAsh Vix is positive on Roll Yield as well. The Curve went into backwardation slightly... ___________________________________________________________ Hopefully, a PCC Squeeze into the next DUMP.
Losing the 55ED_EMA was not a good look for Vol.OnlyFabs. The downtrend we indicted remains in Trade for now. Vol of Vol collapsed well below the 103 Pivot... primarily due to a solid lack of participation. With $x Expiry ahead on the Day of the FOMC Rate Decision, it's going to be a highly volatile day. _______________________________________________________
Double the Fun. Double the Danger. Double, Double down... 25.60 Gap
VX2/VX1 Looking at Extremes in the Slope of the VIX Futures Term Structure. This is just to show how the signal is generated & some data on it will overlay the signals on that breadth chart I use to illustrate how complementary Simple Breadth + Vol Metrics Can be for Long Term Buying/Selling.
Settlement is complete. Lower Po's are now open. VIX Roll Yield 105 Bips.
The VIX has Gpas slightly below into the 29s on the 15-minute chart. Breaking 30 would create an immediate dump. Friday will provide a tell for the CT for the Indies. ___________________________________________________________ The VX Curve remains in Backwardation will beyond M2/V2.
When the Vix trades its supports, it rallies and the Indices decline. They never make it to Full Resistance. Never. ____________________________________________________________ The ARB is to use the PCC over 1.28 to 1,35 for countertrend squeeze. A trader who continues to project a bottom... persists in being incorrect. Bottom Callers have been chumps time...