This publication is for Euro against U.S. dollar, and quick and simple as well as all other publications by @Pandorra 2023 is about the end, so let's take a look on technical perspectives for FX:EURUSD . The main graph is EURUSD semi-annual 6-month chart (yes, they also exist on TradingView, as well as quarterly 3-month charts and annual 12-month...
Watch this curve because the market always knows, and the market isn't as free as many think. Gives us a sign when the true risk off kicks in. Might be due for a short relief soon, and then it starts. A potential bounce area is market as white, might not match and steepen now, but the breadth indicates that more likely than not we will get it in a matter of weeks...
TBT is a UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF. This Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the Daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. 1. Always look first. Never rush into a trade or investment blindly. 2. Wait, and wait again, for the pattern to develop. 3. Be patient...
Good Afternoon! Long Term #interestrates are PUMPING today!!! The 10 & 30 Yr have been struggling in this area. They are currently forming a negative divergence. We'll see how that goes. 3Month - 1Yr haven't moved much. 2Year #yield is also moving. This is "good"! That means that the normalization of yield curve is not happening yet. #stocks #gold #silver
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 1 & 2Yr #yields are falling pretty decently today. This can be very good short term. However....... It's conceivable BAD in the long term (has been historically) IF the curve normalizes. Current rates 2Yr 5.056 vs 10Yr 4.749 The #Fed rarely does things right. I Wonder. Why is that? Can it be by design? #bonds #stocks TVC:TNX
It's important to keep and eye on the 10 & 2Yr yields. The inverted #yield curve has huge prediction probability. BUT The strongest aspect of this is when it normalizes. We're not far from that as the10yr has been pumping and the shorter time frames have been pretty stagnant. Now, there's 2 ways this happens. Soft landing, economy slowly recovers OR Lower...
Look how strong the correlation is between 2y/10y spread and interest rates in the last two decades. Once it starts peaking watch it roll over slowly, a pause, usually indicates the last stages.
As seen here we can expect pivots once we have a divergence appearing at the spread, usually the indices lag and follow only once it starts free falling. Something to watch, another great indicator.
Short term #yield is still weakening The 3M & 6M peaked not long ago & been going lower. The 1Yr & 2Yr are holding area when the #banks began to fail. The 10Yr peaked Oct 2022, last year. TVC:TNX has been lower & looks 2b headed lower at the moment. We'll see what the #FederalReserve does but Wall St thinks #fed is done with rates or @ CLOSE to the end of hikes
6M #Yield has been struggling lately 1Yr was weak but it's retracing some of those losses 2Yr has been the strongest of the four lately 10Yr Has been stagnant as of late Seeing the 2Yr pump is concerning....... #bonds #stocks #gold #silver
TVC:RUT broke resistance & is trading back under again The only consistent up mover is the NASDAQ:NDX 6Month is at its HIGHEST levels this year 1Yr Struggling here but hit highs 2 & 10Yr nowhere near highs TVC:TNX All #yields look as if they're going to roll over soon Historically, #stocks follow this downside on yields Is this time different?
Spaaaaaaaaaaace! Let's make a quick party, also bring a cake to celebrate! Make it quick, because it's late and I am tired and I should be sleeping by now. We have reached the top of the world. Well, equities have. It is time for them to lose value big time. Their successor is here, bonds. I have talked about it extensively in my last idea. This is an urgent...
good eve' --- decided to update my primary today, to further align with the current states of the market. my upside target remains the same, at 5.9%--6% into 2024, but i think we go slightly lower locally, into june before it pops. summer time is historically quite bullish in the market, so a slight pause on rates to align with seasonality makes sense. thanks...
I feel bad when I am filling up your feed with my non-stop posting. There are too many charts that I want to talk about. I could post them as "updates" to my earlier ideas. But this would be confusing for me and for the reader. Therefore, here is another short chart analysis. The last few months were peculiar. DJI began diverging away from the other main...
Looking @ a few different #yields (Not shown)Weekly 6month and 1Yr easier to notice BEAR FLAG & the pattern is close to being annulled. Daily 2Yr looking good, breaking out of channel. Hard to short dull market but seeing #bond yields climbing is worrisome for short term. TVC:TNX 10Yr looks like 2Yr.
gm, called the top on the us10y last year as well. (view post at the bottom of this thread). swinging by to actually adjust my public bias, after a few recent discoveries. --- jerome powell explicitly mentioned in a few of the recent talks that the fed is going to raise the interest rates above 5%, and keep them there for some time. what this tells me, is...
1Yr is still holding better than 2yr & 10Yr IMO Still look like they're fighting to bottom, HOWEVER, TVC:TNX has a history of breaking current support level. Monthly RSI looks 2b weakening. While in theory falling #yield is good for #TECH it historically has NOT been good for #stocks
The US02Y has been trading on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past 4 weeks, closing above it on all occasions. This is a key time for (primarily) the stock market as the last time the US02Y broke and closed below its 1W MA50 (week of December 31 2018), a massive rally on stocks (which on this chart are portrayed by the S&P500 and the black trend-line) was...