A potential low-risk setup on this CLM2020-BBM2020 spread ; Brent to trade at a discount to WTI - very unlikely. Optimal entry around -2.40 , risk of $3k per contract with a potential 1R-1.5R return before the expiry of these contracts at the end of April.
Ticker: GLD Position: - 21st Feb 2020 Put debit spread - Long $150 strike Put - delta 0.90 - cost = $3.65 - Short $148 strike Put - delta 0.70 - credit = $2.04 - Net cost/ spread = $1.61 - Running 5x spreads (5x of both strikes) Net cost = $805 Profit target/ break even/ exit: - Max profit of the spread at expiry = cost of the spread minus the width...
Ticker: WMT *This trade is a little more complex, than the others, as it has 2 separate spreads, but stick with me Position: 1st leg - Call debit spread - 21st Feb 2020 expiry - Long 114 Strike call = $4.85 - D = 0.99 - Short 115 Strike call = $4.25 - D = 0.95 - Net cost of 1st leg = $0.6 Position: 2nd leg - Put debit spread - 21st Feb 2020 expiry - Long...
Ticker: MCD Position: - Feb 14th Expiry - Long 210 Strike call = 3.78 - Delta 0.92 - Short 212.50 Strike call = 1.90 - Delta 0.62 - Net cost = $1.88 - Break even at expiry = $211.88 - Max profit = $0.62 (33%) - Run 5x contracts = $940 Profit/ Exit targets: - Exit position if MCD closes below the 21 ema on the daily - Max profit is target, you may wish to...
Wave 5 resistance, opportunity to set up a bearish fly Expiring Feb 28th 2020
Back from Hols - Back to Trading - Back to Profit..!!! Weekly (W) Chart, Post Earnings showing good Pullback towards Mid BB%. W RSI is <10. Looking for S/R around the 52 level. Looking for Reversal to mean back higher. Aiming for 52.50 /50 Put Credit Spread with 55 Calls for directional Bias higher. Exp SEPT - As this is weekly Chart, looking to leave time to...
Canadian benchmark rate is at 1,75% and is expected to rise gradually but is dependent on the oil prices, as growing concerns over growing surplus and lower demand. Canada is highly dependent on the U.S. economy where there are expectations on a slowdown to more sustainable pace through 2019. Consumption spending and housing investment is slowly weakening, and...
Russian GDP annual growth rate is expected to come out February 1 with an increase of 0,70% from 1,50% to 2,20% while GDP in April is expected to fall into a 2,10% growth rate, Agricultural GDP is almost at 2017 levels, and will likely contribute to a stronger ruble. Manufacturing and construction GDP is also inching for a strong growth rate this year. Exports is...
During several previous liquidity crisis in 2001,2008,2012, 2016 the investment grade corporate yields spread over treasuries hit 200+ bps ... right now at an average spread of 150 basis points, may suggest more pain ahead before capitulation is reached. In other words investment grade corporate bond yields may be still too low. Based on what we've seen during...
US10 US02 This may not look like something to watch and you may not know about it. Only about 2% of investors understand it, however 98% of institutional traders (the “smart money”) watch it like the World Cup finals. Its the 10 year treasury yield to the 2 Year treasury yield ratio/spread. Bottomline: If it goes negative (hits the dotted yellow line) =...
This very interesting soybean crush spread is very close to its extremes and we think it is a good idea to short this spread. To do this, you need to buy 1 contract in soybean meal, 1 contract in soybean oil and buy 1 contract of soybeans. Our target is the level of 130 and we are willing to sell one more spread at the level of 180.
Last lesson for today. I want to catch something moving in a direction, after it pulls back and starts to continue, based on wave theory and fibonacci, among other things, of course. When you trade something going in a direction u can wind up in this......(a diagonal usually indicating price reversal, at least this type)...Just put your stop above the high right?...
I am new to the forum so I am the one needing your ideas. What should one do when the trend is sell is down and the buy is up. Thank you.
Bitcoin: Which Exchange is Best/Most Reliable for trades, stops, and signals? (next buy-points at bottom) Bitcoin Update Coinbase/Bitstamp and Bitfinex The ridiculous situation of multiple prices across multiple competing exchanges has once more caused chaos with stops yesterday if they were raised too tight under 9900. The subsequent low on Coinbase was 9914 and...
This trade location is approaching again and it again could be a great trade. However i am liking the opposite trade more now due to the rising prices in oil. So the short could be a nice fast scalp but the trade I will focus on, as long as oil is seeking higher values, is a long of the bottom of this upper range.
As investors price in lower inflation and increased expectations for a Fed rate hike, the yield curve (between the 30 year bond and the two year note) is continuously making new lows. Typically, the flattening or steepening of the yield curve is led by one end, but in this case, both appear to be contributing equally. This presents a problem for the Fed as...
As the markets price in the next interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, we see the spread between the 30 year and 2 year US treasuries continue to flatten. It is probably not coincidence that peaks in the Altcoin Index match up with with relative bottoms (especially recently) in the treasury spread. Also, although this is somewhat due to the Segwit2x drama...