This chart shows the S&P 500 SPY ETF next to the Fed Funds Rate. It seems to be a great reminder that this market is still Fed driven and low rates, at any moment, can support the market. When they got too high in 2018/19, the Fed cut and the bull run immediately continued. Just keep watching out for any potential hikes in the future. Otherwise...
If the Yield curve Inverts this Year, 2020, it might signal further rate cuts by the FED despite Powell's reluctance to enter the NIRP and ZIRP realm and contrary to the forward guidance. TIME WILL TELL -Surecapital
Going to 0 and beyond. One of the few charts that can go in the negative. Lower highs and lower lows for 30 years. Once the market catches wind of lower interest rates it can't get enough. It's a race to the bottom for all developed world interest rates. To full investment and then what happens? The real problem is the velocity of money keeps dropping with every...
Take notice how correlated the lending rate is to the rate of fiat dollars printed. All that money was printed at 0% interest. Now, rates are going up and the printing presses are cooling down.
Just for fun and something to watch. Recessions in Grey
Showing 2.40% of cuts as perspective of how fast federal reserve cuts rates.
Chart of rate cutting cycles with percentage and time to end of cycle (bottoms).
FED has begun a cycle of rate cuts although they don't want us catching that idea. Trump is downright determined to get the FFR back to 0% as quickly as possible, going so far as to demand the FED to cut rates 100bps at yesterday's meeting. Powell made clear that the FED doesn't want to turn this into a "trend of rate cuts" but that they would take appropriate...
Back in March of 2019 I put this out there...and here we are, getting a rate cut today !
Curve play is a play on the cash rate etc Historic reversals and equities
Mar 2020 Fed Funds Futures vs Actual Fed Fund Rate... its a pricing a rate cut, as Mar 2020 Fed Funds Futures get below actual Fed Fund Rate
For the first half of this trading week, the dollar has shown weakness as it reached a peak at 97.7. Although the Fed is expected to raise rate later during the Fed Funds Rate release, the market is also expecting lesser rate hike later in 2019. The dollar is well expected to drop further to key level 96.4, an important supply zone. The trend of the dollar will be...
Credit risk, volatility and lots of liquidity fireworks in 2018
Analysis of important data ametrics for 13 December fed rate hike based on fedwatch - fed funds futures - > www.cmegroup.com COTs data used: non commercial long and short data as % of open interest ...
Logistic Wealth Management Strategist-Tanner Elphee 6/12/17 GBPUSD sold off harshly after election results. Me being the novice trader I am jumped right in off the first woosh bar. Set my stop behind the first wick and through the night it stopped me out. In hindsight the stop was way too close and I really have no clue what is going on in UK. I know the...
Currently, the sentiment of the pair seems to be clearly inclined to a down movement of the price. But we should rather wait until Friday to find out more about what will be the real direction of the pair. Note that the US is strongly considering a hike in interest rate which can cause the USD to grow much stronger. However, the France is currently on crosshead...
As expected the fed decided NOT to change the fed funds rate or discount rate. We could/ shoud see some USD flushing of fed funds for september to the downside I stick with my 99.5 to 100 for USDJPY shorts as attached. Attention now turns to Yellens speech in 30mins - deeper analysis to come then. FOMC Rate Decision: Fed Leaves Policy Rate Unchanged, Says...