The S&P500 index is trading inside a Channel Down. Every break over the MA50 (4h) forms its Lower High and is a sell signal. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price as it is over the MA50 (4h). Targets: 1. 5125 (expected contact with the MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is on a Rising Support, which is a Bullish Divergence in contrast with the Channel...
S&P has been trading in a range since April 4th sell off. Neither buyers or sellers have any conviction in trading. Level to watch: 5217.00 ----5215.00 Report to watch: EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 am EST
SPY broke below the (blue) Channel Up and the only Support standing now is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This level has been holding since the November 03 2023 break-out. If it holds, a new pattern will emerge but the medium-term bullish trend will stay intact. If the 1D MA50 breaks though, we expect a bearish extension similar to August 15 2023, February 24...
If the market does not give us a meaningful bounce tomorrow (~+0.75%) and hold, and instead breaks lower, things could accelerate to the downside pretty quickly. The downside risk at this point is heavier than the upside potential so all I'm saying is be careful. Would not personally be buying at these levels because you may be holding the bag if this goes...
A lot of talk is being done lately on whether the S&P500 index (SPX) has maxed now that it made new All Time Highs (ATH) or it is in need of a strong correction etc. Those who have been following us for long here, know that in times like this, we like to keep a long-term perspective and give you the picture unfiltered with the facts only. Along those lines, we...
The stock market had a monstrous performance in recent years and continues its secular bull run but If you compare it to gold it performs quite normally...and if you compare it to Bitcoin it has a disastrous performance. Looks like those monstrous performances of the stock market are mostly caused by the dollar devaluation rather than anything else
Thats my most likely senario for CPI (mom expected +0.3) could be in line which could be positive catalist for market. 5230 CMP is the entry now
Thanks a lot you the likes, really appreciate! It is not financial advice just recreational trading idea sharing ____________________________________________________________________ - 5332.5: price point identified as potential optimal entry for short direction trade. Depends on the velovity of the market when if hitting that price point again. - 5168.75 to...
For the first time in 2024 the US Stock Market's S&P 500 has shown TWO bearish signs at once this week. In any given year statistically one can expect 2 or 3 corrections of -5% to -10%. It is now month 4 of 2024 and we are due. In this video I talk about the two signs (False Breakout Monday, Break and Hold Resistance Thursday) that came together to signal the...
So many things saying sell and take profits right now it's not even funny. 500 is the first real support. If that green wave iii uptrend is to stay in play, we need to bounce at 500, which would only be -3% or so. Then 485 is the next support at the bottom of the uptrend channel. If 485 is broken then those red downtrend C waves are in play. 1. SPY ran into...
Job data this morning caused a movement exactly as I anticipated and discussed yesterday. The move lower I suspected came yesterday as I anticipated, so now I'm just looking to see if we can move below this 5204 12hr support line. To date, the 12hr has been the major support level to stop any movement down since November which is why we have not seen a Daily trend...
Longer video but hopefully it clarifies my position in the market. I do NOT have a short position yet, but I am looking for one at this point. I might wait until either the close of the day depending on where we are OR take a short position if the overall day goes negative. Trends into today; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5724 Uptrend...
The S&P500 index (SPX) came extremely close to hitting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday for the first time in 5 months (since November 02 2023)! As you realize, this is a key Support for the uptrend and the Channel Up in particular, which has been the dominant pattern these months to drive the index to High after High. The fact that the price is...
The S&P500 remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.356, MACD = 47.470, ADX = 36.597) but today is having so far the strongest bearish 1D candle since December 15th 2022. Having hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up at the start of the week, this can be a technical correction to at least the 1D MA100 if the 1D MA50 breaks. Consequently we...
The S&P500 index / US500 hit the top of the Channel Up that started in August 2022. If the 1week RSU crosses under its MA trend line, we will have a sell confirmation, much like July 31st 2023 and February 20th 2023. The minimum decline has been -6.06%. Another one of this magnitude, conveniently tests the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up and more...
After yesterday's sell off market is trying to rally during ETH session. If traders can stay above yesterday's Close, we might get a bounce today. Level to watch: 5252.00 --- 5250.00 Reports to watch: US: EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET US: Jerome Powell Speaks 12:10 PM ET
The month of March starts with the bullish momentum from the previous month Feb 2024. February closed with strength while creating a new ATH which I expect March to breach with ease. I will like to note: Monthly candle started on Friday March 1.2024 This is only of importance for the next sessions of intraday. Weekly candle has not closed yet. I will add...
NYSE:ES is currently stronger than NQ, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Typically, after each high and low, ES retraces within that range, finds more buyers, and continues the trend. At present, we haven't retested the previous higher high at 5257, so I'm not interested in longs until we have a defined retest of the prior higher high, or zones...