I can't find a spot of good news over this weekend - or one that would make a sound difference to economies (on a longer term basis). I'm expecting (not predicting) panic on Monday/Tuesday. The markets are NOT economies. They represent confidence in economies - similar to bond markets. Seriously - it's almost all bad news out there - and the algos will be...
In this screencast I explore some interesting features in the 1D and 3D time frames. There is a very rare VHC on the Aroons on the 3D time frame. This has not happened at least since 2008! It usually means business. Have a look. As usual your loses are your own.
I explain some of the price action on this chart and show an amazing 15 min trend. The melt down has been caused by fears about the COVID-19 virus. This is the biggest 3 day dump on the DJI is about 3 years. I explain how serious it is.
A 'black swan' event is something out of the blue - that creates systemic risk. The 2019-nCOV (virus) is potentially one such thing. The markets have not been prepared for this - at all. Could it be the pinprick that pops the 'tech bubble' that influences markets globally? The shock waves of this itty bitty virus are totally unexpected. I go into some price...
Get ready! There are only two directions for price; UP or DOWN. In this screencast I show why the zone around 29000 could be the most important. See the broadening wedge. Price could go either way. If you believe that the FED and Mr Trump is gonna save the world, go long at 29000. If you believe a crash is coming take a short. If you believe 29 is a prime number...
With US-Iran de-escalation traders shift their focus on Brexit talks and safe-haven outflows! The new EC President threw doubt into a free-trade agreement in her visit in the UK to initiate talks. And this could have a reversal effect on the uncertainty we saw removed over the past few weeks. Watch me analyze GBPNZD and CADJPY for further technical insights...
Iran retaliated against US with ballistic missiles instead of disrupting oil shipments, facing one enemy at a time as China is a big importer. Gold and crude soared to fresh highs after Iran attacked a US military base in Iraq. Oil gains, however, were discounted early, perhaps due to EIA’s later report, but gold remains bid near $1600/oz. Watch our analyses...
The DJI was dented significantly over night by three main events: 1. Trouble in Iran. 2. China - withdrawing some companies from the LSE 3. North Korea - powering up to cause America a headache. There was panic selling in the middle of the night which started with the news on Iran. Important trend lines up to 2 hourly were penetrated. Could this be the...
EURGBP could complete its primary correction marginally below the 0.83 round support either in an (A) or (C) fashion. The successful correction will determine the strength of the upside move, provided a slide is sustained above or near the 0.8130 area. Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and...
In this screencast I set out why I think the NASDAQ is in deep trouble and uncertainty. This is truly beyond technical and fundamental analysis. I'm looking into the psychology of markets. There is a whole lot to fear in this market. Reality is catching up on fantasy. It's been a long lovely dream and the big boys have made their killing. They will not want this...
I've spotted late this alternate ABCD pattern. Alternates are any pattern where AB=CD. There are the standard ABCD patterns that are well known. I'm exploring and learning from alternates to see what degree of corrections to expect. This set up is therefore observational only.
In today’s market insights video recording, I talk about EURGBP and AUDJPY FX Minors. Euro is affected by a report that a phase-1 deal is highly unlikely by the end of this year as the Chinese want rollbacks pushed to May 2020 and the US Congress just passed a bill supporting Hong Kong protesters; going against China again!? Safe-haven flows were also increasing...
In today’s marketinsights I talk about how the latest trade war and API developments affected the prices on gold and oil. Watch as I identify certain #elliottwave patterns that can’t go unmissed ahead of today’s FOMC minutes and EIA’s WTI report! XAUUSD is still expected to turn lower after the completion of this subminute correction, whereas US Oil, could...
EURUSD could have found support at 1.10 round level! This assumes that we are still correcting towards intermediate wave (4), and are currently completing minor wave B of the A,B,C correction. Wave B is a minute a,b,c with subminute wave (v) being a triangle. Wave C of this correction could take prices to fresh highs above 1.1181. In case prices slide lower...
EURGBP could move a tad lower to complete intermediate wave 2 near 0.8480 before continuing higher. The said level is the 100% FE of the first minute degree zig-zag and could be duplicated as minor X was somewhat dominant. Look for a valid reversal above last zig-zag's minute b wave but expect minute c to complete first. Minute c should be truncated to support...
I had flagged that the DJI and NASDAQ were in trouble some time ago. I told everybody to 'GET READY'. Some were hypnotised by POTUS's assertions that the American economy is doing "fantastically well". Yes he said so and I have the reference. The data on ISM that triggered this plunge/correction was not brand new information at all. It's only because the ISM...
In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #USDCAD and #USDCHF #CAD Supported by: - By Drone Attack and #WTI surge - Weaker Dollar #CHF Supported by: - Weaker Dollar - Safe-haven flows on tradewar headlines *Should be weaker following #SNB's downward inflation outlook revision Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is...