There's not much interest in the Chinese stock index here on Tradingview but the ChinaA50 is absolutely important for what happens around the globe. The A50 is in big trouble and more trouble is yet to come in weeks to months. This is just bad news for the rest of the world really. I'll say no more here - follow some of the price action with me on the 4H.
This is a very short presentation on how previous virus attacks have affected Wall Street (daily time frame). I go back to 2013, plotting what was seen. This is relevant in relation to the recent Wuhan coronavirus (WCV). Mainstream media have referred to WCV as a "deadly virus". This is frankly nonsense based on current data. The case fatality ratio (CFR) is...
I show how trends can be assessed. Word on the coronavirus is also explored..
I've looked into the DJI and the DAX because they are connected. I also considered events affecting the Hong Kong index. In the text below, I consider China's 'nuclear option'. Overall I'd say the probability is greater for the south on these indices (from this point in time). But caution - because there is a residual probability for the north and I can't know...
FX:EURUSD NEW UPDATE THIS WEEK FOR EURUSD , LETS SEE GUYS GOODLUCK !
Well, well - 'everybody' (except me), is rushing madly bullish on the DJI, as there is now a 99% expectation that the Federal Reserve is gonna make not one but three interest rate cuts over the next 18 months. This post is relevant to risk management and trading psychology . The hard evidence is that rate cuts in the similar economic circumstances are...
This screencast is speculative - and I invite the full brain power of Tradingview's community to consider the variables which might affect the US Stock Markets around this time. Let's do this together. The stock market has retreated, probably due to nerves about the Mueller report - among several other things. If the report contains nothing on which Trump is...
The vix indicates how volatile the market currently is. Right now, the VIX is sitting at 14.40. A neutral market is indicated by a vix being at 17. Since the vix is sitting on the low end, we should continue to see the market stay relatively safe. However, with all the ongoing issues of a slowing global growth, trade, and poor economic data, it would be best to...
Dear fellow traders, In this screencast I focus on the form of market fluctuations in 2007-ish and compare with what we are seeing in 2018. Reference this screencast against my previous screencast of 24th Dec 2018, on the PPT. The key points match fairly closely in the overall form . Strangely, the recent rebound is so telling of a story. What's that? This...
The VIX is known as the 'fear index'. It has taken a pulse north which is not unexpected, as volatility on the P SPX500 took a leap recently. The VIX is not an index I trade, nor do I know anyone who trades it. Its value is in keeping a finger on the 'pulse' of the stock market. When the VIX begins to pulse, expect trouble. Some see trouble only after it has happened.
That the Plunge Protection Team has been called in means there is big trouble! The PPT is a real lawful entity designed to manipulate the US Stock Markets. It is officially known as the Working Group on Financial Markets (WGFM). It was created by by President Reagan’s Executive Order 12631 in 1988 following the 1987 crash. Its purpose is to lawfully prevent...
This is a short one. It appears that the SPX spooked itself last night! Well, to be fair it was probably news of the death cross which caught some investors, that was related to some price action. Markets - at their tips - are ruled by hope, fear and greed. Watch this space. No predictions - as usual. :)
The SPBUYUP index has not been shown in a published idea on Tradingview before now (I checked). It is the index which tells how much companies are buying back their own stock to keep the S&P500 afloat. So if this fails, market 'manipulations' of the S&P500 could fail. Of course, this not the only thing that influences the S&P500 but it is a significant marker of...
In this screencast I show how I interpreted the bull run on the daily and how I entered on a 30 min time frame. Everybody (almost) went 'Wooohoooo!" when Trump made announcements that trade war with China was on hold. There was also the Wooohooo thing when Powell made his politically correct statement, which actually didn't say anything about halting interest...
Crystal balls are either cracking or working overtime around the world in attempting to predict what's going to happen with Wall Street. See also What rules the world? As I said so many times before, 'nobody can predict anything' in stock markets or any other market - for the simple reason that nobody owns the future. In this screencast, I show a bit of my...
In this video I review again some evidence that everybody can see with their own eyes. The US30 or the DJI is in trouble. There are observable signs of a trend change in a parabolic picture from the Weekly right down to the 4H time frame. The market is convulsing with hope and greed. But the geopolitical situation is very unstable at at this time, and a...
I'll say little here. It's all in the video. Note this is a very different situation, it being parabolic.
In this video I look over a few indices and the VIX. There is a problem i.e. the news is saying one thing, but the charts are showing something rather different. I look at some trendlines, channels and patterns. After many years in trading I'm no longer obsessed with the names of various patterns. The overall pattern is what interests me more. The news is...