FED-backed pumping or rather re-pumping of the popped bubble, has taken the DJI to unexpected levels. I think they're making the same mistake all over again. Have a look. No predictions. I don't do predictions. Tough. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can...
Just have a look. I present a case for probability south on the DJI (Wall Street). Reality is catching up. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions...
I present Tradingview data on COVID-19 infection rates and death rates in the USA - and compare those with the DJI (Wall Street). Contrary to what we've been told by our leaders and mainstream media, there is no plateauing of infections or deaths in the USA. NOBODY can say that the virus has peaked. The virus is charging north on exponential curves. Most of...
This is a 60-second screencast. It is designed for thinking - the most important activity in trading.
Have a look-listen. I explore what happened with Gold in relation to the DJI going back to 2008-2009. Then I'm back up to 2020.
This is serious picture emerging right now. Have a look. I'm watching what's happening with Gold in relation to the Down Jones Transportation Index, and Bitcoin. This is all coronavirus related. In tight summary, the smart money is moving into things that store real value - the kind that's unlikely to be affected by central banks. Disclaimers : This is not...
There's not much interest in the Chinese stock index here on Tradingview but the ChinaA50 is absolutely important for what happens around the globe. The A50 is in big trouble and more trouble is yet to come in weeks to months. This is just bad news for the rest of the world really. I'll say no more here - follow some of the price action with me on the 4H.
This is a very short presentation on how previous virus attacks have affected Wall Street (daily time frame). I go back to 2013, plotting what was seen. This is relevant in relation to the recent Wuhan coronavirus (WCV). Mainstream media have referred to WCV as a "deadly virus". This is frankly nonsense based on current data. The case fatality ratio (CFR) is...
I show how trends can be assessed. Word on the coronavirus is also explored..
I've looked into the DJI and the DAX because they are connected. I also considered events affecting the Hong Kong index. In the text below, I consider China's 'nuclear option'. Overall I'd say the probability is greater for the south on these indices (from this point in time). But caution - because there is a residual probability for the north and I can't know...
Well, well - 'everybody' (except me), is rushing madly bullish on the DJI, as there is now a 99% expectation that the Federal Reserve is gonna make not one but three interest rate cuts over the next 18 months. This post is relevant to risk management and trading psychology . The hard evidence is that rate cuts in the similar economic circumstances are...
This screencast is speculative - and I invite the full brain power of Tradingview's community to consider the variables which might affect the US Stock Markets around this time. Let's do this together. The stock market has retreated, probably due to nerves about the Mueller report - among several other things. If the report contains nothing on which Trump is...
Dear fellow traders, In this screencast I focus on the form of market fluctuations in 2007-ish and compare with what we are seeing in 2018. Reference this screencast against my previous screencast of 24th Dec 2018, on the PPT. The key points match fairly closely in the overall form . Strangely, the recent rebound is so telling of a story. What's that? This...
That the Plunge Protection Team has been called in means there is big trouble! The PPT is a real lawful entity designed to manipulate the US Stock Markets. It is officially known as the Working Group on Financial Markets (WGFM). It was created by by President Reagan’s Executive Order 12631 in 1988 following the 1987 crash. Its purpose is to lawfully prevent...
This is a short one. It appears that the SPX spooked itself last night! Well, to be fair it was probably news of the death cross which caught some investors, that was related to some price action. Markets - at their tips - are ruled by hope, fear and greed. Watch this space. No predictions - as usual. :)
The SPBUYUP index has not been shown in a published idea on Tradingview before now (I checked). It is the index which tells how much companies are buying back their own stock to keep the S&P500 afloat. So if this fails, market 'manipulations' of the S&P500 could fail. Of course, this not the only thing that influences the S&P500 but it is a significant marker of...
In this screencast I show how I interpreted the bull run on the daily and how I entered on a 30 min time frame. Everybody (almost) went 'Wooohoooo!" when Trump made announcements that trade war with China was on hold. There was also the Wooohooo thing when Powell made his politically correct statement, which actually didn't say anything about halting interest...
Crystal balls are either cracking or working overtime around the world in attempting to predict what's going to happen with Wall Street. See also What rules the world? As I said so many times before, 'nobody can predict anything' in stock markets or any other market - for the simple reason that nobody owns the future. In this screencast, I show a bit of my...