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John_8-58

T-Notes rally

Long
10 Year T-Note Futures (CBOT_DL:ZN1!)  
John_8-58  
CBOT_DL:ZN1!   10 Year T-Note Futures
Trend Analysis Wave Analysis Fundamental Analysis
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trendanalysis waveanalysis fundamental
Looking for T-Notes to continue the rally in coming months:

  • It looks like it ended a 5 waves pattern

  • There is a divergence on the MACD between wave 3 and 5

  • Their is the 10 year S2 at 105 and an untested demand zone

  • Historical number of shorts on the T-Notes ( COT: Reportable Non-Commercial Net Positions (Futures Only))

  • Lower inflation and potential economic effects of such a rapid increase in rates should make rates go down

December is usually the worst month of the year for treasuries but 2024 should be a good year for bonds.
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