Exxon is in a complex situation - but overall risk is still to the downside at the moment.
On long term basis, XOM fell out of 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean (at 76 now), but is still holding within 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (although, below the mean itself)
Thus XOM is on risk of decline there at least to 65 - which is the lower 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, if price continues to trade below 76
On short term basis the risk (of decline into 65) is confirmed - price is trading below 1st standard deviations from both 1-year and quarterly mean (thus is in downtrend in relation to both short term means)
The micro levels are alligned with macro levels at the moment, as can be seen on the chart
On long term basis, XOM fell out of 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean (at 76 now), but is still holding within 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (although, below the mean itself)
Thus XOM is on risk of decline there at least to 65 - which is the lower 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, if price continues to trade below 76
On short term basis the risk (of decline into 65) is confirmed - price is trading below 1st standard deviations from both 1-year and quarterly mean (thus is in downtrend in relation to both short term means)
The micro levels are alligned with macro levels at the moment, as can be seen on the chart