ICE-Forex

XAU/XAG-IMPORTANT MOVEMENTS-MONTLY

Short
OANDA:XAUXAG   Gold/Silver
‼Dear friends, the direction of long-term analysis does not change much. (Weekly-Monthly Trends)
But the length of daily and 4-hour trends is very short.
That's why we need to constantly update our short-term analyzes.
Today we will continue our gold and silver analysis.

💸Macroeconomic Overview
FED's hard interest rate hikes, along with precious metals, caused a general decline in the commodity market. However, it is not possible for commodity prices to return to their normal prices very quickly, including oil . Therefore, I do not expect any relaxation in the FED's interest rate policy. In general, my expectation is that interest rates will lag behind inflation for a long time.

💥Monthly
Gold silver ratio is an important chart. In the past years, we have witnessed a long-term rise. XAU/XAG showed an increase from $ 30 to $ 130. (5 waves-impulse waves) We can interpret this rise as a 5-wave impulse wave according to the elliot wave pattern. .After this rise, there was a sharp decline in favor of silver. According to the technical analysis, this can be interpreted as a correction of the previous bearish movement. (A decline) Now, I think we are in the B rise. At the 93-102 resistance levels, I expect the current situation to turn in favor of silver again.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.