TomBray1

SHORT ON GOLD - SUPPLY & DEMAND

Short
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
GOLD is currently at a key supply zone, marked out on the 30M timeframe. Previously, GOLD has rejected this zone with strong momentum, and we can already see strong selling pressure at this zone.

We've just seen a huge bearish engulfing candle formed the 30M timeframe, creating a new lower low. I am now looking for GOLD to come up to supply once more to complete the head & shoulder pattern making that lower high which so happens to line up with the 61.8 Fibonacci level.

I personally believe GOLD is heading higher into the 1800 (Golden zone) where we have another supply zone, however GOLD has started to reject the 30M supply zone instead but please do trade with caution!

Long-term- I believe GOLD is going to break out of this range and head up to the mid-1800 area in the next few weeks/months. This idea is fuelled by the high inflation rate around the world, specifically the US where they are at a 38 year high of 6.8%. GOLD is seen as a hedge against inflation and with concerns over the new Covid variant, investors may start moving their money into safer assets such as GOLD / US Dollar / Japanese Yen.

This is merely a possibility and a trading idea so please do trade with caution and ensure correct risk management is implemented.

Good luck and let me know your thoughts!
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