GOLD reversed sharply from record peak

The gold market heated up last week due to increasing geopolitical tensions. Israel is preparing for a potential attack from Iran, while Iran has vowed to seek revenge on Israel following an attack on their consulate in Damascus. This news is expected to drive safe-haven gold buying over the weekend.

The US Department of Labor's report states that the producer price index (PPI) rose 0.2% in March 2024, which is lower than economists' predicted 0.3% increase. Investors are acknowledging the potential for prolonged inflation and expect the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain a patient approach to monetary policy.

After rising to 2,431 USD/ounce, the highest price in history, gold encountered profit-taking pressure, causing the price of this precious metal to decline sharply. While gold failed to hold above $2,400 an ounce, analysts noted that it remains strong as it prepares to set another weekly record. The new record comes even as markets begin to assess the possibility of an interest rate cut in June after March inflation was higher than expected.

Comment:

🟥Former US State Department official William Lawrence: The United States wants to adopt a non-escalatory stance and search for a solution to conflicts and conflicts, and the Iranian attack failed by 99%.

Comment:

Over the past week, gold prices have experienced an impressive increase to $2,400 despite the strength of the US dollar and currently XAU/USD is trading around $2,360. The reason for this partly comes from the market's risk aversion as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to increase.

Comment:

Gold falls below $2,349

Gold turned down to below $2,349 from above $2,362 in the European session

The market awaits US retail sales data and Empire State manufacturing data released this evening

Comment:

Gold prices have been supported by other factors including strong buying by central banks, rising demand from Chinese consumers and rising geopolitical risks.

Comment:

🟢Gold prices rose to approach the record high level recorded last week

- The rise was supported by concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel

- Gold in spot transactions rose 0.2% to $2,387.11 per ounce, and US gold futures contracts increased 0.9% to $2,403.90.

Comment:

Fed data showed output at factories, mines and utilities rose 0.4%, matching the previous month's revised gain. Mining and energy extraction decreased, while public service output increased.

Comment:

On the daily chart, after gold received support from readers in yesterday's edition at $2,365, it continued to rise but was limited by the original price level of $2,400 which was also a resistance point. target for short-term increase expectations.

At this time, the $2,400 level is also the closest notable technical resistance level and once this level is broken it will open up expectations towards the previously established all-time high. Will consider selling around the Fibo 100 mark, corresponding to the resistance threshold of 2430USD. Technical conditions are still supporting the possibility of price increases with the short-term trend being noticed by the price channel and the long-term trend from EMA21. As long as gold remains above the 21 EMA, it remains in a long-term bullish trend.
In the short term, influenced by fundamental factors, gold may enter an accumulation phase with main resistance at 2,400 USD and support at 2,365 USD. It is worth noting that if the $2,365 level is broken below gold will tend to retest the 0.786% Fibonacci extension of the $2,331 price point.
Recently, gold has been traded at a very large margin, so preparations are needed from managing trading volume and open positions/protecting open positions.